Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Chicago Fire
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Atlanta United - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.81
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
611
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Long passes
55% (22/40)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
72% (103/144)84% (95/113)
Crosses
10% (2/21)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.28
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
116
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
2832
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.810.21
Goals prevented
-0.19-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 28', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 31', Amador P. 🟨,
  • 35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. , Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
  • 67', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 67', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 71', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 71', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 71', Muyumba T. , Reilly W. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. , Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
  • 81', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 83', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 87', Lennon B. , Edwards M. ,
  • 87', Abram L. , Togashi C. ,
  • 89', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 89', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.5%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.15)
    3.9
    (3.77)
    2.78
    (3.17)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Guzan B. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J. (Head Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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