Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - Atlanta United
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.27
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
82% (373/456)79% (336/425)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.880.22
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
99
Passes
82% (373/456)79% (336/425)
Long passes
46% (24/52)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
77% (149/194)64% (78/121)
Crosses
14% (3/22)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.51
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
99
Tackles
53% (8/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
3630
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.222.88
Goals prevented
0.220.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 35', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Miranchuk Al. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 60', Latte Lath E. 🟨,
  • 73', Rogers S. 🟨,
  • 74', Hernandez R. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 74', Klich M. , Slisz B. ,
  • 74', Fortune A. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Rogers S. (Own goal),
  • 81', Dean J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 81', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 81', Lennon B. , Cobb N. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kouame R. , Glasgow O. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 90', Gutierrez B. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 90', Edwards M. , Thiare J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
39.8%
Draw
25.1%
Atlanta United
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 26.1% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 26% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.31)
    3.82
    (3.65)
    2.75
    (2.92)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
    • Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlanta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
    • Chicago might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L. (Lower-Body Injury) Brady C. (Red Card) Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Atlanta United were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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