Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Chicago Fire
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Atlanta United - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.81
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
611
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Long passes
55% (22/40)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
72% (103/144)84% (95/113)
Crosses
10% (2/21)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.28
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
116
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
2832
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.810.21
Goals prevented
-0.19-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 28', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 31', Amador P. 🟨,
  • 35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. , Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
  • 67', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 67', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 71', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 71', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 71', Muyumba T. , Reilly W. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. , Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
  • 81', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 83', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 87', Lennon B. , Edwards M. ,
  • 87', Abram L. , Togashi C. ,
  • 89', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 89', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.5%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.15)
    3.9
    (3.77)
    2.78
    (3.17)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Guzan B. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J. (Head Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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