Chelsea vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Club Friendly Chelsea - Milan
Result
4:1
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Club Friendly
Chelsea - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.92
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
92% (421/457)91% (371/406)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.370.63
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3217
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
814
Passes
92% (421/457)91% (371/406)
Long passes
65% (26/40)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
83% (122/147)79% (67/85)
Crosses
39% (7/18)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.171.43
Throw-ins
109
Fouls
158
Tackles
85% (11/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
2638
Clearances
716
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.632.37
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Coubis A. (Own goal),
  • 8', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro , Neto P. (A),
  • 18', Coubis A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ricci S. , Modric L. ,
  • 56', Chalobah T. , Acheampong J. ,
  • 60', Joao Pedro , Delap L. ,
  • 60', Fernandez E. , Andrey Santos ,
  • 61', James R. , Gusto M. ,
  • 61', Palmer C. , Estevao ,
  • 66', Maignan M. 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Delap L. (Pen),
  • 70', 3 - 1, Fofana Y. , Saelemaekers A. (A),
  • 71', Neto P. , Walsh R. ,
  • 73', Gittens J. , George T. ,
  • 73', Adarabioyo T. , Hato J. ,
  • 73', Caicedo M. , Essugo D. ,
  • 73', Musah Y. , Dutu M. ,
  • 85', Loftus-Cheek R. , Eletu V. ,
  • 86', Saelemaekers A. , Sia D. ,
  • 90', 4 - 1, Delap L. , Andrey Santos (A),

Chances of winning


Chelsea
66.9%
Draw
18.8%
Milan
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 24.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Chelsea - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.95)
    5.81
    (3.9)
    7.76
    (3.59)
    -7.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Chelsea - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (38 of 40 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 88.25%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chelsea has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Milan were as follows:
    11.10.2022 Milan - Chelsea 0:2
    05.10.2022 Chelsea - Milan 3:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    08.08.2025 Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0
    08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2
    28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4
    Latest results of Milan
    09.08.2025 Leeds United - Milan 1:1
    31.07.2025 Perth Glory - Milan 0:9
    26.07.2025 Liverpool - Milan 2:4
    23.07.2025 Arsenal - Milan 1:0
    24.05.2025 Milan - Monza 2:0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    argentinaArgentinaDAZN App
    brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil, SportyNet
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    ecuadorEcuadorDAZN App
    franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
    ghanaGhanaGlobe TV
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaGaruda
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, Milan TV
    mexicoMexicoDAZN App
    paraguayParaguayDAZN App
    peruPeruDAZN App
    portugalPortugalSport TV7
    singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 5, DAZN
    uruguayUruguayDAZN App
    usaUsaDAZN USA, NBC Universo
    venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN App
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