Derby County vs Charlton Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Charlton Athletic
Result
1:2
27/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 13
  • Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
Derby County - Charlton Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
60.1%
Draw
23.9%
Charlton Athletic
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 26% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 24.8% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.
  • Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Derby County - Charlton Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.72)
    3.95
    (3.6)
    5.78
    (4.81)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Charlton Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 3.
    • Derby is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Charlton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Derby won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Charlton Athletic were as follows:
    03.02.2024 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 0:1
    18.02.2023 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 2:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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