New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Charlotte
Result
4:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York Red Bulls - Charlotte - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.72
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
84% (382/453)89% (583/653)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.752.60
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
84% (382/453)89% (583/653)
Long passes
37% (22/59)61% (40/66)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)75% (93/124)
Crosses
9% (1/11)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.58
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1510
Tackles
65% (11/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.602.75
Goals prevented
0.60-1.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Bogacz W. , Duncan K. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Calderon Vargas K. A. , Agyemang P. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Sofo M. , Carmona W. (A),
  • 40', Biel P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 64', Zaha W. 🟨,
  • 64', Gjengaar D. , Harper C. ,
  • 64', Bogacz W. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 68', Privett A. 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 71', Agyemang P. , Smalls T. ,
  • 71', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 74', Choupo-Moting E. M. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Abada L. ,
  • 77', Carmona W. , Hack A. ,
  • 82', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 83', Scardina N. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 87', Stroud P. , Donkor R. ,
  • 87', Sofo M. , Valencia O. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Malanda A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 4 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
44.5%
Draw
26.4%
Charlotte
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.9% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 25.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.9)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    3.3
    (3.94)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Charlotte will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Red Bulls will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • Recent performances by NY Red Bulls have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charlotte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N. (Foot Injury) Bronico B. (Yellow Cards) Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Cambridge B. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury) Forbes J. (Hamstring Injury) Ream T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Carballo F. (Muscle Injury) Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Toklomati I. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Charlotte were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:1
    29.05.2024 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 0:0
    25.10.2023 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 5:2
    21.06.2023 New York Red Bulls - Charlotte 2:2
    25.03.2023 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Charlotte
    24.05.2025 Charlotte - Columbus Crew 3:2
    21.05.2025 DC United - Charlotte 4:3
    17.05.2025 Charlotte - Chicago Fire 1:4
    14.05.2025 Orlando City - Charlotte 3:1
    10.05.2025 Nashville SC - Charlotte 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC26154750:321849
    2Vancouver Whitecaps25136643:281545
    3Minnesota United26128643:301344
    4Seattle Sounders25118643:35841
    5Los Angeles FC23107641:301137
    6Portland Timbers25107833:34-137
    7Austin FC2497823:28-534
    8Colorado Rapids26961133:40-733
    9San Jose Earthquakes26881049:45432
    10Real Salt Lake25941227:32-531
    11FC Dallas25771137:45-828
    12Houston Dynamo25771132:41-928
    13Sporting Kansas City25661336:47-1124
    14St. Louis City25561427:41-1421
    15Los Angeles Galaxy25371528:52-2416


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union26156544:251951
    2FC Cincinnati26154739:32749
    3Nashville SC26145743:291447
    4Orlando City26128650:341644
    5Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    6Inter Miami23126550:381242
    7Charlotte261321144:39541
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire25106947:42536
    10New York Red Bulls261061041:37436
    11New England Revolution25771133:35-228
    12Toronto FC25571326:33-722
    13Atlanta Utd254101130:46-1622
    14CF Montreal26471524:47-2319
    15DC United26471522:51-2919

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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