Cincinnati vs Charlotte: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Charlotte
Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
Cincinnati - Charlotte - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.64
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Long passes
60% (21/35)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
80% (126/157)80% (122/153)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.54
Throw-ins
157
Fouls
1115
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.641.56
Goals prevented
-0.361.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Orellano L. , Echenique E. ,
  • 52', Tuiloma B. , Marshall-Rutty J. ,
  • 62', Engel L. 🟨,
  • 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
  • 73', Valenzuela G. , Jimenez S. ,
  • 73', Kamara K. , Smith B. ,
  • 73', Abada L. , Williamson E. ,
  • 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Toklomati I. (A),
  • 88', Byrne N. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Denkey K. ,
  • 89', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Evander 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Charlotte
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 28.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    4.21
    (4.5)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:0
    13.07.2024 Cincinnati - Charlotte 1:3
    30.03.2024 Charlotte - Cincinnati 1:1
    23.09.2023 Cincinnati - Charlotte 3:0
    08.07.2023 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - Charlotte?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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