CF Montréal vs Forge: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Championship CF Montréal - Forge
Result
2:2
09/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Villanueva R. (Can)
CF Montréal - Forge - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.22
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (310/352)71% (99/140)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.100.13
Total shots
67
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
24
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
186
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
119
Passes
88% (310/352)71% (99/140)
Long passes
54% (15/28)28% (5/18)
Passes in final third
79% (108/136)52% (16/31)
Crosses
13% (2/15)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.11
Throw-ins
169
Fouls
105
Tackles
50% (3/6)43% (3/7)
Duels won
2023
Clearances
623
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.130.10
Goals prevented
-1.87-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 45', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Duke B. , Synchuk G. ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 62', Choiniere D. , Borges T. ,
  • 62', Ampomah N. , Massunda H. ,
  • 63', Piette S. , Campbell G. ,
  • 65', Borges T. 🟨,
  • 74', Bugaj D. , Pearce T. ,
  • 74', Clark C. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Borges T. , Massunda H. (A),
  • 80', 1 - 2, Bekker K. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Bekker K. , Paton B. ,
  • 86', Petrasso L. , Graham-Roache O. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', Babouli M. , Kane K. ,
  • 88', Wright B. , Filion M. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Owusu P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
48.7%
Draw
26.9%
Forge
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.6% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • CF Montréal - Forge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.85)
    3.37
    (3.28)
    3.71
    (3.83)
    10.4%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Forge?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CF Montréal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Forge is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Forge were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Forge - CF Montréal 1:0
    22.05.2024 CF Montréal - Forge 0:2
    07.05.2024 Forge - CF Montréal 1:1
    24.05.2023 CF Montréal - Forge 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Forge
    05.07.2025 Forge - Vancouver FC 2:1
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    22.06.2025 Valour - Forge 0:5
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    08.06.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    2ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1
    3Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    4ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    5CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    6Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    7York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    8Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CF MontrealForge2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Vancouver WhitecapsValour2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3CavalryVancouver FC1 : 2, 1 : 1
    4York UtdAtl. Ottawa3 : 4, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeVancouver Whitecaps
    2Vancouver FCAtl. Ottawa

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Forge?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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