Nacional Montevideo vs Cerro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Cerro
Result
4:0
03/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 14
Nacional Montevideo - Cerro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
111
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
132
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 20', Recoba J. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Petit G. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Caceres S. , Techera F. ,
  • 46', Benitez B. , Silvestre F. ,
  • 46', Recoba J. , Otero R. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 51', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 56', Ocampo M. , Falconis O. ,
  • 56', Almeida E. , Alonso M. ,
  • 60', Acosta F. , Aires A. ,
  • 67', Baez Corradi G. , Romero D. ,
  • 67', Eduardo Vargas , Pereyra M. ,
  • 74', Silvestre F. 🟨,
  • 74', Petit G. , Herazo D. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Herazo D. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez N. , Morales L. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Morales L. ,
  • 85', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
70.6%
Draw
18.7%
Cerro
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 19% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 18% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.35)
    4.99
    (4.87)
    8.75
    (7.48)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Cerro?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro 2:0
    09.06.2024 Cerro - Nacional Montevideo 3:0
    28.04.2024 Cerro - Nacional Montevideo 1:2
    15.10.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro 2:1
    03.06.2023 Cerro - Nacional Montevideo 1:1
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Latest results of Cerro
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    14.04.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 3:2
    06.04.2025 Cerro - Progreso 0:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensor Sp22005:326
    2Wanderers22003:126
    3Liverpool M31203:215
    4Penarol21103:124
    5CA Cerro31112:204
    6Cerro Largo30124:6-21
    7Plaza Colonia20111:3-21
    8River Plate30031:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Danubio33006:249
    2Racing Montevideo22003:036
    3Nacional22003:126
    4Juventud21015:503
    5Boston River21013:4-13
    6Progreso20020:2-20
    7Montevideo City30035:8-30
    8Miramar20020:3-30

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Montevideo - Cerro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    chileChileDisney+
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