Athletico Paranaense vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño
Result
2:1
25/07/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
81
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
60
Free Kicks
154
Corner Kicks
72
Offsides
03
Throw-ins
1716
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Fouls
1119
Red Cards
11
Yellow Cards
33
Attacks
93117
Dangerous Attacks
4038

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani , Cuello (A),
  • 22', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 26', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 30', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Benitez M. , Cabanas V. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Cuello ,
  • 60', Diego Churin , Da Costa F. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez D. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 66', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ,
  • 71', Gonzalo Mastriani , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 71', Cabanas V. 🟨,
  • 74', Eduardo Brock , Carrascal R. ,
  • 80', Fernandinho , Gamarra M. ,
  • 83', Cabanas V. 🟨,
  • 85', Cuello , Godoy L. ,
  • 85', Christian , Gabriel ,
  • 87', Iturbe J. , Olmedo L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
64.8%
Draw
22.9%
Cerro Porteño
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 26.5% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.63)
    4.1
    (3.45)
    7.55
    (5.25)
    6.7%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.
    • In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    18.07.2024 Cerro Porteño - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, FuboTV
    chileChileESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 4
    netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 1, ESPN 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    peruPeruESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    usaUsabeIN Connect, FuboTV
    worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz
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