Defensa y Justicia vs Cerro Largo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo
Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Calderas E. (Ven)
Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.82
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
83% (401/482)62% (132/213)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.01
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
83% (401/482)62% (132/213)
Long passes
49% (25/51)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
68% (102/151)51% (37/73)
Crosses
30% (7/23)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.36
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1515
Tackles
56% (5/9)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.011.91
Goals prevented
-0.990.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Gianoli M. 🟨,
  • 33', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 42', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Assis S. ⚽, Affonso M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Otormin L. ⚽, Affonso M. (A),
  • 53', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
  • 55', Delgado R. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
  • 55', La Roza U. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
  • 56', Larralde V. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
  • 59', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 66', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Barbona D. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
  • 68', Otormin L. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 81', Affonso M. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
  • 81', Garcia A. ↓, Piriz M. ↑,
  • 81', Bertocchi N. ↓, Parada F. ↑,
  • 83', Rubio T. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
  • 90+4', Anasco M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
66.8%		Draw
21%		Cerro Largo
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 21% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 20.2% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.4 ↑
    (1.38)    		 4.46 ↑
    (4.45)    		 7.78 ↓
    (8.54)    		 6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    22.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 0:2 ✺
    14.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺
    06.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    02.05.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia 3:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    24.05.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo 3:2 ✺
    18.05.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    14.05.2025 Cerro Largo - Vitória Salvador 0:1 ✺
    07.05.2025 Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Cerro Largo - Plaza Colonia 2:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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