Central Norte vs San Telmo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera Nacional Central Norte - San Telmo
Result
1:2
12/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Nacional - Round 14
  • Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
Central Norte - San Telmo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
99
Corner Kicks
710
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Acosta R. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Genes N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Dell Aquila N. ,
  • 52', Maidana A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chavarria C. , Moravec M. ,
  • 68', Salerno M. , Porto J. ,
  • 68', Curcio N. , Aguirre F. ,
  • 69', Genes N. , Berrondo A. ,
  • 69', Acosta R. , Lesman G. ,
  • 72', Castilla G. 🟨,
  • 74', Porto J. 🟨,
  • 76', Maidana A. , Larthirigoyen I. ,
  • 79', Dell Aquila N. 🟨,
  • 83', Sanz P. , Banega T. ,
  • 83', Ribero M. , Alvacete J. ,
  • 85', Yangali J. , Tello F. ,
  • 85', Uriburu R. , Britez E. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Tello F. ,
  • 90+3', Rinaudo S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Central Norte
46.7%
Draw
31.9%
San Telmo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 27.9% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 27.4% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Central Norte - San Telmo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.93)
    2.92
    (3.35)
    4.3
    (3.95)
    7.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Central Norte - San Telmo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Central Norte: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
    • Central Norte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Telmo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Central Norte is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Telmo
    26.04.2025 Chaco For Ever - San Telmo 1:2
    20.04.2025 San Telmo - Mitre 0:0
    14.04.2025 Colón - San Telmo 0:1
    05.04.2025 San Telmo - Temperley 0:3
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin T23109422:14839
    2Atletico Atlanta23109421:15639
    3San Miguel2399522:15736
    4Patronato2398627:21635
    5Deportivo Madryn22810425:19634
    6Gimnasia y Tiro2389620:14633
    7Tristan Suarez23712419:15433
    8Deportivo Maipu2388722:21132
    9Racing Cordoba2379729:30-130
    10Los Andes2377922:22028
    11Quilmes2169622:19327
    12Almagro2369817:20-327
    13Colegiales23761013:19-627
    14Ferro2368915:22-726
    15Club A. Guemes23413619:22-325
    16All Boys23411818:21-323
    17Alvarado2249913:22-921
    18Arsenal Sarandi23391118:33-1518


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy231110224:111343
    2Chacarita Juniors23117530:171340
    3Gimnasia Mendoza221010222:111140
    4Deportivo Moron22109325:111439
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto23911323:14938
    6Temperley23108522:17538
    7Chaco For Ever23114825:18737
    8CA Mitre2387817:16131
    9Agropecuario2287725:25031
    10Def. de Belgrano2279618:15330
    11CA Estudiantes2286819:17230
    12Nueva Chicago2378821:21029
    13San Telmo2269720:24-427
    14Colon Santa Fe23831220:25-527
    15Central Norte23741220:29-925
    16Almirante Brown23491016:26-1021
    17Defensores Unidos2318149:38-2911
    18Talleres (R.E)2315177:28-218

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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