Hibernian vs Celtic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 35
  • Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
Hibernian - Celtic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.372.73
Ball possession
19%81%
Total shots
427
Shots on target
16
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
013
Passes
52% (84/162)89% (647/725)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.372.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.122.28
Total shots
427
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
014
Shots inside the box
213
Shots outside the box
214
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
013
Touches in opposition box
552
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
117
Passes
52% (84/162)89% (647/725)
Long passes
16% (10/61)56% (28/50)
Passes in final third
33% (14/42)82% (217/265)
Crosses
11% (1/9)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.082.95
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
711
Tackles
33% (3/9)40% (2/5)
Duels won
4330
Clearances
3619
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
2.280.12
Goals prevented
0.28-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', McGrath J. 🟥,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Maeda D. , Johnston A. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Newell J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cadden N. , Obita J. ,
  • 46', Boyle M. , Campbell J. ,
  • 48', Obita J. 🟨,
  • 54', Scales L. 🟨,
  • 54', Campbell J. 🟨,
  • 63', Johnston A. , McCowan L. ,
  • 63', Tounekti S. , Forrest J. ,
  • 69', Yang Hyun-Jun , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Iheanacho K. ,
  • 73', Newell J. , Barlaser D. ,
  • 77', Nygren B. , Ralston A. ,
  • 81', Elding O. , Scarlett D. ,
  • 81', Iredale J. , Suto A. ,
  • 90+2', Engels A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Suto A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', McCowan L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hibernian
19.7%
Draw
22.3%
Celtic
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 24.1% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 24.3% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hibernian's form might have worsened.
  • Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celtic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hibernian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hibernian - Celtic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.72
    (3.45)
    4.17
    (3.93)
    1.63
    (1.95)
    6.4%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hibernian - Celtic?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +0.75 - Celtic (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +1 - Hibernian (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Celtic will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Celtic (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 1.
    • Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Celtic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Celtic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hibernian: Garananga M. (Inactive) Molotnikov R. (Ankle Injury) Mulligan J. (Ankle Injury) Passlack F. (Red Card) Sallinger R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Celtic: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmeichel K. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Celtic were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Celtic - Hibernian 1:2
    30.11.2025 Hibernian - Celtic 1:2
    27.09.2025 Celtic - Hibernian 0:0
    10.05.2025 Celtic - Hibernian 3:1
    09.03.2025 Celtic - Hibernian 2:0
    Latest results of Hibernian
    26.04.2026 Hibernian - Hearts 1:2
    11.04.2026 Aberdeen - Hibernian 2:0
    04.04.2026 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 3:0
    21.03.2026 Motherwell - Hibernian 0:0
    14.03.2026 Hibernian - Livingston 0:0
    Latest results of Celtic
    25.04.2026 Celtic - Falkirk 3:1
    19.04.2026 Celtic - St. Mirren 6:2
    11.04.2026 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    05.04.2026 Dundee - Celtic 1:2
    22.03.2026 Dundee United - Celtic 2:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Quarter-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    3Partick ThistleBye
    4ArbroathDunfermline0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    2Partick ThistleDunfermline2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1St. MirrenPartick Thistle
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hibernian - Celtic?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
    irelandIrelandNOW
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesMaraya, Sharjah Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomCeltic TV, Hibs TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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