Result
0:1
16/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 38
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 82% (324/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 82% (324/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (45/93) | 70% (81/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Bushiri R. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
- 32', Watt E. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Fadinger L. ⚽, Charles-Cook R. (A),
- 45+3', McGrath J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', McGrath J. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
- 46', Newell J. ↓, Mulligan J. ↑,
- 53', Mulligan J. 🟨,
- 53', Charles-Cook R. 🟨,
- 58', Hanley G. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
- 66', Slattery C. 🟨,
- 67', Watt E. 🟨,
- 70', Elding O. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 71', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
- 72', Slattery C. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 72', Just E. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 73', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Said I. ↑,
- 74', Fadinger L. 🟨,
- 83', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 84', Boyle M. 🟨,
- 87', Longelo E. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
- 89', Cadden N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hibernian
41.5% | Draw
27.4% | Motherwell
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hibernian's performance.Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motherwell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motherwell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hibernian - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.65) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
3.02 ↑
(2.6) |
5.9%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Motherwell?
- Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Motherwell will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 26.7% – 80.9%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Hibernian (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
- Hibernian has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motherwell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Molotnikov R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E.
(Muscle Injury)
Halliday A.
(Inactive)
McGhee J.
(Inactive)
McGinn P.
(Inactive)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Motherwell?
Hibernian has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Hibernian?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Motherwell were as follows:
21.03.2026
Motherwell
-
Hibernian
0:0
10.01.2026
Hibernian
-
Motherwell
1:1
25.11.2025
Motherwell
-
Hibernian
2:0
11.01.2025
Hibernian
-
Motherwell
3:1
30.11.2024
Motherwell
-
Hibernian
0:3
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of Motherwell
Draw
RelegationQuarter-finals| 1 | St. Mirren | Bye | |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | Bye | |
| 4 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | St. Mirren | Bye | |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | Dunfermline | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | St. Mirren | Partick Thistle | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Hibernian - Motherwell?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, Motherwell TV |
