Ceará vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Grêmio
Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 2
  • Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
Ceará - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.81
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
74% (176/237)82% (314/383)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.61
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2119
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
189
Passes
74% (176/237)82% (314/383)
Long passes
46% (30/65)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
67% (50/75)74% (89/121)
Crosses
24% (5/21)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.70
Fouls
918
Tackles
53% (10/19)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4855
Clearances Total
2621
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.612.28
Goals prevented
0.610.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Amuzu F. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul (Pen),
  • 41', Arezo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernando Sobral , Lourenco ,
  • 46', Camilo , Cristaldo F. ,
  • 55', Igor Serrote 🟨,
  • 58', Fernandinho , Martinez A. ,
  • 63', Pavon C. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 63', Igor Serrote , Aravena A. ,
  • 67', Lucas Mugni , Matheus Araujo ,
  • 73', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
  • 81', Edenilson , Monsalve M. ,
  • 87', Amuzu F. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 90', Galeano A. , Aylon ,
  • 90+3', Pedro Raul , Nicolas ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Matheus Araujo , Martinez A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
46%
Draw
29%
Grêmio
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.2% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 30.2% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ceará - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.68)
    3.27
    (3.26)
    3.78
    (2.69)
    5.6%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ceará - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grêmio (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
    • Recent matches Ceará is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Grêmio is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ceará will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G. (Muscle Injury) Walter Kannemann (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao (Muscle Injury) Galeano A. (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Injury) Richard (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
    Latest results of Ceará
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    19.03.2025 Ceará - Juazeirense 2:0
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    12.03.2025 Athletic Club - Grêmio 3:4
    08.03.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 0:2
    01.03.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 2:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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