Castres vs Montpellier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union French Top 14 Castres - Montpellier
Castres - Montpellier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Result
27:26

Which TV channels are streaming this event?

It is being streamed on channel
franceFranceC+ France

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 11/05/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 23

What is the Match Stats?

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
31
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
23
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

What are the Key Moments of the Match?

Here there are
  • 1st Half (13 - 16)
  • 10', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 13', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Nakosi F. 🟨,
  • 17', Cadot A. (Try),
  • 19', Cadot A. (Try),
  • 35', Staniforth T. (Try),
  • 35', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 10)
  • 41', Japaridze L. (Try),
  • 43', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 47', Vanverberghe F. (Try),
  • 49', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Cocagi A. (Try),
  • 61', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),

What is the Probability of Winning?

Castres 67.4%Draw 4.2%Montpellier 28.4%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Castres 66.4%Draw 6.4%Montpellier 27.2%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Castres 67.4%Draw 6.3%Montpellier 26.8%

What is the Odds of Castres - Montpellier?

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.38)
21.8
(14.33)
3.18
(3.37)
8.9%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for the Castres - Montpellier?
    The most likely score prediction is 28:21.
    Do you have any preview information?
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Castres won 3.
    • Castres is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Montpellier has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Castres is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Castres won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 416-406.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castres won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 228-175.
    How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Montpellier?
    Castres has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Castres?
    Montpellier has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
    Who is the favorite in this match?
    Castres is the certain favorite in this match.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Montpellier were as follows:
    23.12.2023 Montpellier - Castres 30:21
    15.04.2023 Montpellier - Castres 19:28
    08.10.2022 Castres - Montpellier 26:13
    What were the latest results of Castres in their previous matches?
    The latest results are as follows:
    27.04.2024 Oyonnax Rugby - Castres 22:19
    20.04.2024 Castres - La Rochelle 25:24
    05.04.2024 Gloucester - Castres 30:25
    30.03.2024 Perpignan - Castres 43:12
    23.03.2024 Castres - Racing Métro 21:23
    What were the latest results of Montpellier in their previous matches?
    The latest results are as follows:
    27.04.2024 Montpellier - Perpignan 20:25
    20.04.2024 Section Paloise - Montpellier 31:23
    07.04.2024 Montpellier - Ulster 17:40
    30.03.2024 Montpellier - Stade Français 10:12
    23.03.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 54:7
    French Top 14 Table
    2023/24
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain241608706:52174
    2Stade Francais Paris231517476:44667
    3Bordeaux Begles231409589:49263
    4RC Toulonnais2414010632:48663
    5Stade Rochelais2412012540:44660
    6Racing 922412012579:50757
    7Section Paloise2412012579:56156
    8Clermont2411211559:60456
    9USA Perpignan2412012573:63554
    10Castres Olympique2411013588:60754
    11Aviron Bayonnais2411013535:61452
    12Lyon2411013564:68551
    13Montpellier ✔ 248016486:57740
    14US Oyonnax ✔ 246117505:73030

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Montpellier is Top 14 (Relegation)
    US Oyonnax is Relegated to Pro D2
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