Result
33:12
28/12/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 13
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 5)
- 3', Popelin P. (Try),
- 10', Bruni R. (Try),
- 10', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (23 - 7)
- 50', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
- 54', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Baget R. (Try),
- 56', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Lopez C. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Habel Kueffner G. (Try),
- 74', Lopez C. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Maqala S. (Try),
- 80', Lopez C. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
77.8% | Draw
3.1% | Castres
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aviron Bayonnais's performance.Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castres than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aviron Bayonnais - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.34) |
28.37 ↑
(23.25) |
4.79 ↑
(3.4) |
8.8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 49.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - Castres?
The most likely score is 31:19.
User prediction is Aviron Bayonnais will win! (6 of 6 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Bayonne is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 308:429 (average 19.3:26.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bayonne won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 186:137 (average 23.3:17.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Castres?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Castres has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - Castres were as follows:
08.06.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Castres
17:28
02.09.2023
Castres
-
Aviron Bayonnais
37:0
25.02.2023
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Castres
41:10
15.10.2022
Castres
-
Aviron Bayonnais
39:22
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 778:380 | 84 |
| 2 | Bordeaux Begles | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 659:525 | 69 |
| 3 | RC Toulonnais | 23 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 622:542 | 67 |
| 4 | Aviron Bayonnais | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 573:575 | 60 |
| 5 | Castres Olympique | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 520:571 | 53 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 568:514 | 52 |
| 7 | Stade Rochelais | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 514:570 | 52 |
| 8 | Lyon | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 608:601 | 49 |
| 9 | Clermont | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 536:550 | 48 |
| 10 | Section Paloise | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 573:654 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing 92 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 601:624 | 47 |
| 12 | USA Perpignan | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 399:543 | 40 |
| 13 | Stade Francais Paris | 23 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 525:660 | 37 |
| 14 | Vannes | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 575:742 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
Which TV channels are streaming of Aviron Bayonnais - Castres?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 France | C+ France |
 World | FloSports app |
