Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/08/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 22

Match Stats


Goals
11	13
Behinds
8	15
Kicks
175	194
Handballs
146	130
Disposals
321	324
Frees For
24	28
Frees Against
28	24
Clearances Completed
35	36
Marks
60	89
Tackles
77	67
Hitouts
31	49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (19 - 34)
04:19, King B. (G),
07:56, McKay H. (G),
09:57, Cripps P. (Behind),
11:26, Read E. (Behind),
13:03, Evans F. (G),
15:04, (Behind Rushed),
15:55, Evans F. (G),
20:16, Read E. (Behind),
21:46, Witts J. (G),
23:06, Long B. (G),
25:34, Humphrey B. (Behind),
29:15, King B. (G),
31:04, King B. (G),
2nd Quarter (12 - 21)
05:42, Ainsworth B. (G),
07:48, (Behind Rushed),
10:09, Fogarty L. (G),
12:25, Miller T. (Behind),
15:12, Long B. (G),
17:15, O'Keeffe H. (G),
22:41, King B. (G),
25:39, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (8 - 29)
00:40, Fiorini B. (G),
04:44, Farrar J. (Behind),
06:41, Fogarty L. (Behind),
07:52, King B. (G),
09:26, Long B. (G),
12:11, Fiorini B. (G),
14:26, Evans F. (G),
15:39, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
17:44, Budarick C. (Behind),
19:15, (Behind Rushed),
23:48, O'Keeffe H. (Behind),
26:14, Long B. (Behind),
4th Quarter (35 - 9)
03:23, Durdin C. (Behind),
04:04, McKay H. (G),
05:50, Evans F. (G),
07:11, Motlop J. (G),
08:48, Moir A. (Behind),
12:35, Moir A. (G),
14:34, Fogarty L. (Behind),
16:34, Motlop J. (Behind),
19:40, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
21:12, (Behind Rushed),
24:12, McKay H. (G),
27:57, King B. (G),
30:18, (Behind Rushed),
31:53, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Carlton Blues
23.5%

Gold Coast Suns
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gold Coast Suns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.09)		1.22 ↓ (1.35)	7.5% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-25)

What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gold Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 74:99.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
Carlton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gold Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gold Coast is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1476:1332. (average 82:74).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 727:621. (average 90.9:77.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Gold Coast Suns?

Carlton Blues has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against Carlton Blues?

Gold Coast Suns has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:

24.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 102:73

19.08.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues 87:91

17.06.2023 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 120:61

Latest results of Carlton Blues

03.08.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Carlton Blues 94:67 ✺

24.07.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Carlton Blues 85:61 ✺

19.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 78:70 ✺

10.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions 66:103 ✺

04.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 59:115 ✺

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

02.08.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers 107:23 ✺

25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64 ✺

20.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Gold Coast Suns 107:46 ✺

11.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies 69:63 ✺

04.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 74:115 ✺

AFL Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Brisbane Lions	23	16	1	6	2061:1804	114.25	66
4	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
5	GWS Giants	23	16	0	7	2114:1834	115.27	64
6	Fremantle Dockers	23	16	0	7	1978:1815	108.98	64
7	Gold Coast Suns	23	15	0	8	2173:1740	124.89	60
8	Hawthorn Hawks	23	15	0	8	2045:1691	120.93	60
9	Western Bulldogs	23	14	0	9	2493:1820	136.98	56
10	Sydney Swans	23	12	0	11	1845:1902	97.00	48
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	23	9	0	14	1839:2077	88.54	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	23	6	0	17	1535:2209	69.49	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	23	1	0	22	1466:2438	60.13	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 5