Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Lorenzo Musetti: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP World Tour Finals Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
2:0
13/11/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin, hard
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
69%64%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (30/36)53% (19/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (9/16)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)40% (2/5)
Average 1st Serve Speed
203 km/h188 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
167 km/h157 km/h
1st Return Points Won
47% (17/36)17% (6/36)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)44% (7/16)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)0% (0/2)
Winners
268
Unforced Errors
2119
Net Points Won
100% (15/15)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
75% (39/52)55% (31/56)
Return Points Won
45% (25/56)25% (13/52)
Total Points Won
59% (64/108)41% (44/108)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
84.2%
Lorenzo Musetti
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.13)

    6.06
    (5.92)
    4.5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti?
    • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Musetti will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 64.3%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Musetti (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 18.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Musetti L. retired
    16.05.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    13.04.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2
    26.03.2024 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    01.10.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Auger-Aliassime F. (8)2 : 0
    2Sinner J. (2)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2
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