Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Daniil Medvedev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Semi-finals
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
63%59%
1st serve points won
69% (27/39)64% (28/44)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)74% (23/31)
Break Points Saved
0/24/5
1st return points won
41% (18/44)36% (14/39)
2nd return points won
26% (8/31)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
1/52/2
Winners
2415
Unforced errors
3022
Net points won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
65% (40/62)68% (51/75)
Return Points Won
32% (24/75)35% (22/62)
Total Points Won
47% (64/137)53% (73/137)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
80.9%
Daniil Medvedev
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.2% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.19)

    5.04
    (4.54)
    4%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev?
    • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 38.8%86.2%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +2.5 Games - Medvedev (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Medvedev (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.
    • Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2
    12.07.2024 Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:3
    17.03.2024 Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2
    17.11.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev 2:0
    08.09.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev 1:3
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.2 : 1
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)2 : 1
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.2 : 0
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)2 : 0
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)1 : 2
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 1
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)1 : 2
    3Bublik A. (10)Hijikata R.1 : 2
    4Norrie C. (27)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 0
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (11)Baez S.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)1 : 2
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)2 : 0
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (13)2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Norrie C. (27)0 : 2
    3Djokovic N. (3)Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (11)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (30)Auger-Aliassime F. (9)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (21)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    7Tien L. (25)Davidovich Fokina A. (18)2 : 1
    8Fonseca J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C. (27)2 : 0
    2Draper J. (14)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    3Fils A. (30)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    4Tien L. (25)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    2Zverev A. (4)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (11)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2
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