Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle
Result
4:0
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.35
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
85% (390/458)77% (289/375)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.330.19
Total shots
168
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
613
Passes
85% (390/458)77% (289/375)
Long passes
50% (22/44)48% (32/66)
Passes in final third
78% (118/152)56% (61/108)
Crosses
27% (4/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.58
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
146
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4147
Clearances
2826
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.192.33
Goals prevented
0.19-1.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 34', Colwill J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Wintle R. , Colwill R. (A),
  • 42', Colwill R. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Willock C. , Ashford C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Colwill R. , Willock C. (A),
  • 52', Benarous A. , Pepple A. ,
  • 65', Sorinola M. , Issaka F. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 67', Salech Y. , Robinson C. ,
  • 67', Willock C. , Davies I. ,
  • 71', Mitchell A. , Edwards J. ,
  • 72', Watts C. , Hatch J. ,
  • 87', Colwill J. , Ng P. ,
  • 90', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Davies I. , Wintle R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
61.3%
Draw
22.3%
Plymouth Argyle
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 22.3% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 21.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.57)
    4.14
    (4.23)
    5.73
    (5.3)
    6.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 22 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cardiff has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Plymouth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Tanner O. (Injury) Turnbull D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Szucs K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Injury) Paterson J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 1:1
    19.10.2024 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 5:0
    20.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 3:1
    26.12.2023 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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