Cardiff City vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town
Result
3:0
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.67
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (368/439)73% (204/279)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.951.28
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1710
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3220
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
84% (368/439)73% (204/279)
Long passes
52% (34/65)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
77% (96/125)57% (64/113)
Crosses
17% (2/12)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.460.16
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1518
Tackles
57% (8/14)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
926
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.282.95
Goals prevented
1.28-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Davies I. , Mafico D. (A),
  • 26', Robinson C. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Chambers C. , Davies I. (A),
  • 38', Angol L. (Pen),
  • 45+3', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 46', Davies I. , Colwill R. ,
  • 51', Power D. , Bakare I. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Colwill J. , Colwill R. (A),
  • 56', Ng P. 🟨,
  • 58', Broom R. , Backwell T. ,
  • 58', Harmon G. , Willcox F. ,
  • 65', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 65', Bagan J. , Giles L. ,
  • 71', Salech Y. , Ashford C. ,
  • 72', Angol L. , Miller G. ,
  • 72', Jude-Boyd A. , Barber M. ,
  • 90+1', Mazionis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
71.6%
Draw
17.9%
Cheltenham Town
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 20.1% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 19.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.47)
    5.5
    (4.7)
    9.77
    (6.01)
    2.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cardiff has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cheltenham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Tanner O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Inactive) Turnbull D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Thomas J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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