Cardiff City vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town
Result
3:0
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.67
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
84% (368/439)73% (204/279)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.951.28
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1710
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3220
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
84% (368/439)73% (204/279)
Long passes
52% (34/65)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
77% (96/125)57% (64/113)
Crosses
17% (2/12)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.460.16
Throw-ins
209
Fouls
1518
Tackles
57% (8/14)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
926
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.282.95
Goals prevented
1.28-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Davies I. , Mafico D. (A),
  • 26', Robinson C. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Chambers C. , Davies I. (A),
  • 38', Angol L. (Pen),
  • 45+3', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Robinson C. , Willock C. ,
  • 46', Davies I. , Colwill R. ,
  • 51', Power D. , Bakare I. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Colwill J. , Colwill R. (A),
  • 56', Ng P. 🟨,
  • 58', Broom R. , Backwell T. ,
  • 58', Harmon G. , Willcox F. ,
  • 65', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 65', Bagan J. , Giles L. ,
  • 71', Salech Y. , Ashford C. ,
  • 72', Angol L. , Miller G. ,
  • 72', Jude-Boyd A. , Barber M. ,
  • 90+1', Mazionis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
71.6%
Draw
17.9%
Cheltenham Town
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 20.1% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 19.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.47)
    5.5
    (4.7)
    9.77
    (6.01)
    2.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cardiff has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cheltenham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Tanner O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Inactive) Turnbull D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Thomas J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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