Cagliari vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Cagliari - Parma
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 3
  • Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
Cagliari - Parma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.02
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (323/398)80% (298/371)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.20
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
81% (323/398)80% (298/371)
Long passes
45% (24/53)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
63% (42/67)61% (69/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.11
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1518
Tackles
53% (8/15)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5556
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.201.57
Goals prevented
1.20-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Zappa G. 🟨,
  • 30', Ordonez C. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Mina Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ordonez C. , Oristanio G. ,
  • 54', Gaetano G. , Deiola A. ,
  • 55', Zappa G. , Palestra M. ,
  • 58', Esposito Se. 🟨,
  • 62', Deiola A. 🟨,
  • 62', Lovik M. , Almqvist P. ,
  • 74', Belotti A. , Borrelli G. ,
  • 74', Esposito Se. , Felici M. ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Felici M. ,
  • 80', Bernabe A. , Estevez N. ,
  • 85', Cutrone P. , Djuric M. ,
  • 85', Sorensen O. , Keita M. ,
  • 88', Folorunsho M. , Pedro J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cagliari
40.7%
Draw
31.3%
Parma
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 29.7% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 30% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Cagliari - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.25)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    3.37
    (3.66)
    4.5%
    (2.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cagliari - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8%69.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cagliari will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Parma were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:1
    30.09.2024 Parma - Cagliari 2:3
    03.06.2023 Parma - Cagliari 0:0
    30.05.2023 Cagliari - Parma 3:2
    22.04.2023 Parma - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    Latest results of Parma
    30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1
    24.08.2025 Juventus - Parma 2:0
    17.08.2025 Parma - Pescara 2:0
    09.08.2025 Heidenheim - Parma 2:1
    01.08.2025 Parma - Pro Vercelli 3:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli44009:3612
    2Juventus53209:5411
    3AC Milan43017:259
    4AS Roma43013:129
    5Inter530213:769
    6Atalanta523010:469
    7Cremonese52306:429
    8Como52216:428
    9Udinese42114:5-17
    10Cagliari52125:507
    11Bologna42023:306
    12Torino41121:8-74
    13Lazio41034:403
    14Sassuolo41034:7-33
    15Verona40312:6-43
    16Genoa40222:4-22
    17Fiorentina40223:6-32
    18Parma40221:5-42
    19Pisa40133:6-31
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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