Cagliari vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Cagliari - Parma
Result
2:1
09/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 24
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
Cagliari - Parma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.86
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
149
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
76
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
Free Kicks
1214
Offsides
10
Fouls
1412
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
1215
Touches in the Opposition Box
1920
Passes
80% (260/325)84% (450/535)
Passes in the final third
65% (54/83)70% (113/161)
Crosses
44% (8/18)19% (3/16)
Tackles
72% (13/18)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
2018
Interceptions
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Djuric M. , Bonny A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Cancellieri M. , Man D. ,
  • 54', Viola N. , Gaetano G. ,
  • 55', Camara D. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Vogliacco A. (Own goal),
  • 58', Camara D. , Ondrejka J. ,
  • 58', Keita M. , Hernani ,
  • 69', Felici M. , Coman F. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Coman F. , Gaetano G. (A),
  • 79', 2 - 1, Leoni G. , Bonny A. (A),
  • 85', Adopo M. , Deiola A. ,
  • 85', Makoumbou A. , Marin R. ,
  • 85', Piccoli R. , Pavoletti L. ,
  • 90+1', Hernani 🟨,
  • 90+2', Leoni G. , Almqvist P. ,

Chances of winning


Cagliari
49.9%
Draw
26.4%
Parma
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.9% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 25.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Cagliari - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.93)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    4.05
    (3.84)
    4.2%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cagliari - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 31%73.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 2.
    • Recent matches Cagliari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Parma is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cagliari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cagliari is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Ciocci G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B. (Calf Injury) Benedyczak A. (Injury) Hernani (Injury) Man D. (Injury) Marcone R. (Injury) Mihaila V. (Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26:26 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:10 (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Parma were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Parma - Cagliari 2:3
    03.06.2023 Parma - Cagliari 0:0
    30.05.2023 Cagliari - Parma 3:2
    22.04.2023 Parma - Cagliari 2:1
    03.12.2022 Cagliari - Parma 1:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    03.02.2025 Cagliari - Lazio 1:2
    24.01.2025 Torino - Cagliari 2:0
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    11.01.2025 Milan - Cagliari 1:1
    05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2
    Latest results of Parma
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3
    26.01.2025 Milan - Parma 3:2
    19.01.2025 Parma - Venezia 1:1
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0
    05.01.2025 Torino - Parma 0:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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