Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (303/374) | 84% (451/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (303/374) | 84% (451/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (25/41) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (61/91) | 75% (137/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Bastoni A. (A),
- 44', Belotti A. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
- 45', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Carlos Augusto ↓, Dimarco F. ↑,
- 58', Deiola A. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 58', Pedro J. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
- 60', Barella N. 🟨,
- 64', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- 64', Thuram M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
- 72', Luis Henrique ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
- 78', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 78', Folorunsho M. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Esposito F. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
- 89', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cagliari
8% | Draw
21.1% | Inter Milan
70.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cagliari - Inter Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
14.47 ↑
(5.95) |
5.07 ↑
(4.16) |
1.45 ↓
(1.55) |
-4.4%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Inter Milan?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). Inter will win (votes: 46 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 67.4% – 88.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Inter (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
- Cagliari is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Inter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z.
(Thigh Injury)
Zappa G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter: Bonny A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:50. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.9:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Inter Milan?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Cagliari?
Inter Milan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Inter Milan were as follows:
12.04.2025
Inter Milan
-
Cagliari
3:1
28.12.2024
Cagliari
-
Inter Milan
0:3
14.04.2024
Inter Milan
-
Cagliari
2:2
28.08.2023
Cagliari
-
Inter Milan
0:2
Latest results of Cagliari
Latest results of Inter Milan
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
| 13 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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