Burnley vs Liverpool: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Burnley - Liverpool
Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 4
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Burnley - Liverpool - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.132.45
Ball Possession
19%81%
Total shots
327
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
49% (81/166)88% (607/692)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.132.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.28
Total shots
327
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
012
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
213
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
255
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
78
Passes
49% (81/166)88% (607/692)
Long passes
26% (16/61)55% (16/29)
Passes in final third
36% (16/45)87% (273/315)
Crosses
0% (0/3)20% (9/44)
Expected assists (xA)
0.041.73
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
99
Tackles
69% (11/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3957
Clearances
4712
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.280.00
Goals prevented
0.280.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
  • 22', Kerkez M. 🟨,
  • 38', Kerkez M. , Robertson A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mac Allister A. , Bradley C. ,
  • 63', Cullen J. , Florentino ,
  • 63', Tchaouna L. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 72', Ekitike H. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 75', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 84', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
  • 86', Foster L. , Worrall J. ,
  • 87', Wirtz F. , Ngumoha R. ,
  • 87', Konate I. , Frimpong J. ,
  • 89', Anthony J. , Broja A. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Salah M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Burnley
10.7%
Draw
17.7%
Liverpool
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.1% 17.1% 72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 16.9% 73.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Burnley - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.91
    (9.51)
    5.34
    (5.59)
    1.34
    (1.32)
    4.4%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Burnley - Liverpool?
  • Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). Liverpool will win (votes: 84 - 90.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 84.3%96.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Burnley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Liverpool is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Liverpool is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Jones C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Liverpool were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Liverpool - Burnley 3:1
    26.12.2023 Burnley - Liverpool 0:2
    Latest results of Burnley
    26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0
    15.08.2025 Liverpool - Bournemouth 4:2
    10.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 3:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool550011:5615
    2Arsenal531110:2810
    3Tottenham531110:3710
    4Bournemouth53116:5110
    5Crystal Palace52306:249
    6Chelsea522110:558
    7Sunderland52216:428
    8Fulham52216:518
    9Manchester City52129:547
    10Everton52126:517
    11Manchester Utd52126:8-27
    12Leeds52124:7-37
    13Newcastle51313:306
    14Brighton51226:8-25
    15Nottingham51225:9-45
    16Burnley51135:8-34
    17Brentford51136:10-44
    18Aston Villa50321:5-43
    19West Ham51045:13-83
    20Wolves50053:12-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Burnley - Liverpool?
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