Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Burnley - Derby County live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.86 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
86% (441/511) | 84% (348/414) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.86 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.44 | 0.50 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
86% (441/511) | 84% (348/414) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (28/50) | 41% (21/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (124/157) | 64% (47/73) |
Crosses |
---|
9% (2/22) | 38% (5/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.57 | 0.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.50 | 1.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.50 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Clark B. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Elder C. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
- 46', Humphreys B. ↓, Tuanzebe A. ↑,
- 56', Adams E. 🟨,
- 62', Osborn B. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 62', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 62', Clark B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 62', Tchaouna L. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 63', Broja A. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 70', Ward J. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 78', Flemming Z. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Sonne O. ⚽, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (A),
- 90+4', Ramsey A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley 67.3% | Draw 21% | Derby County 11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Burnley - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.56) |
4.56 ↑ (4.11) |
8.25 ↑ (5.63) |
4.5% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Derby will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 50%). Derby (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
- Burnley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Humphreys B.
(Thigh Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ebuka C.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Broja A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Esteve M.
(Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ugochukwu L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 1.4:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Derby County?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Burnley?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Derby County were as follows:
08.04.2025
Derby County
-
Burnley
0:0
10.12.2024
Burnley
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Derby County
Draw
Main1/64-finals1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Brentford | |
20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
34 | Bye | Leeds | |
35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
37 | Wolves | Bye | |
38 | Bye | West Ham | |
39 | Everton | Bye | |
40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
45 | Burnley | Bye | |
46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
60 | Bye | Brighton | |
61 | Fulham | Bye | |
62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
2 | Swansea | Nottingham | |
3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | |
6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | |
10 | Wolves | Everton | |
11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | |
12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Burnley - Derby County?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Malta | TSN Malta 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |