Derby County vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Derby County - Burnley
Result
0:0
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
Derby County - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.79
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
60% (132/220)84% (460/546)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.860.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.86
Total shots
99
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2116
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
814
Passes
60% (132/220)84% (460/546)
Long passes
42% (31/73)19% (9/48)
Passes in final third
43% (40/92)70% (103/147)
Crosses
20% (5/25)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.66
Fouls
148
Tackles
65% (13/20)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5550
Clearances Total
4153
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.860.18
Goals prevented
0.860.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Laurent J. , Foster L. ,
  • 69', Harness M. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 74', Foster L. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 78', Langas S. , Jackson K. ,
  • 84', Edwards M. , Barnes A. ,
  • 87', Thompson L. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 90+3', Adams E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
20%
Draw
30.4%
Burnley
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 29.2% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 29.4% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Derby County - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (4.28)
    3.13
    (3.24)
    1.91
    (1.94)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Burnley?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Burnley will win! (48 of 54 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 0.
    • Derby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Burnley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Hip Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Jackson K. (Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Derby won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:13 (average 0.3:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Burnley were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Burnley - Derby County 0:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Burnley
    05.04.2025 Coventry City - Burnley 1:2
    29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0
    15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Sunderland (4)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Derby County - Burnley?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    usaUsaParamount+
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