Aston Villa vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Burnley
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
159
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Long passes
59% (23/39)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
73% (66/91)55% (55/100)
Crosses
73% (8/11)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.27
Throw-ins
917
Fouls
915
Tackles
73% (11/15)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
215
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.322.94
Goals prevented
-0.680.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Foster L. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Malen D. , Kamara B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 59', Tchaouna L. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 59', Anthony J. , Broja A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Malen D. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 67', Watkins O. , Buendia E. ,
  • 67', McGinn J. , Guessand E. ,
  • 69', Foster L. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Ugochukwu L. , Hartman Q. (A),
  • 82', Laurent J. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 84', Cash M. , Lindelof V. ,
  • 84', Malen D. , Barkley R. ,
  • 90', Bogarde L. , Onana A. ,
  • 90+1', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Buendia E. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 90+10', Esteve M. , Worrall J. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
59%
Draw
24.3%
Burnley
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.3% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 21.6% 16.8%

Aston Villa - Burnley Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.62
(1.56)
3.94
(4.29)
5.74
(5.86)
4.6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 48 - 81.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 71.5%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
  • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
  • Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Burnley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mings T. (Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
  • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
  • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Calf Injury) Sancho J. (Illness)
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Burnley were as follows:
30.12.2023 Aston Villa - Burnley 3:2
27.08.2023 Burnley - Aston Villa 1:3
Latest results of Aston Villa
02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2
28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0
21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1
16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
Latest results of Burnley
27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1
23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2
14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
English Premier League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Arsenal15103228:91933
2Manchester City15101435:161931
3Aston Villa1593322:15730
4Crystal Palace1575320:12826
5Chelsea1574425:151025
6Manchester Utd1574426:22425
7Everton1573518:17124
8Brighton1565425:21423
9Sunderland1565418:17123
10Liverpool1572624:24023
11Tottenham1564525:18722
12Newcastle1564521:19222
13Bournemouth1555521:24-320
14Brentford1561821:24-319
15Fulham1552820:24-417
16Leeds1543819:29-1015
17Nottingham1543814:25-1115
18West Ham1534817:29-1213
19Burnley15311116:30-1410
20Wolves1502138:33-252

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

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