Aston Villa vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Burnley
Result
3:2
30/12/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Aston Villa
67.2%
Draw
18.9%
Burnley
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 19.2% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3% 18.7% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Aston Villa - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.41)
    5.06
    (4.95)
    6.95
    (7.18)
    4.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 90 - 90.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 85.2%96.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2.
    • Recent matches Aston Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burnley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Burnley were as follows:
    27.08.2023 Burnley - Aston Villa 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Burnley
    26.12.2023 Burnley - Liverpool 0:2
    23.12.2023 Fulham - Burnley 0:2
    16.12.2023 Burnley - Everton 0:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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