Bucheon vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer South Korean Cup Bucheon - Gwangju
Result
1:2
27/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Korean Cup - Semi-finals
Bucheon - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Lee Eui-Hyeong ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Cho Sung-Gwon ,
  • 59', Kim Kyu-Min , Thiaguinho Santos ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bucheon
29.8%
Draw
30.6%
Gwangju
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 30.7% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Bucheon - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.81)
    2.99
    (2.94)
    2.33
    (2.47)
    8.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bucheon - Gwangju?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gwangju will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 2.
    • Recent form of Bucheon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gwangju has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gwangju has had a series of home games.
    • Gwangju might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bucheon - Gwangju were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Gwangju - Bucheon 2:0
    19.06.2024 Bucheon - Gwangju 2:3
    30.08.2022 Bucheon - Gwangju 2:1
    Latest results of Bucheon
    23.08.2025 Bucheon - Cheonan City 0:0
    20.08.2025 Gwangju - Bucheon 2:0
    15.08.2025 Jeonnam Dragons - Bucheon 2:1
    10.08.2025 Cheongju - Bucheon 0:1
    Latest results of Gwangju
    23.08.2025 Gwangju - Gangwon 0:1
    20.08.2025 Gwangju - Bucheon 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen 2:0
    10.08.2025 Pohang Steelers - Gwangju 1:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Yangsan EogokBusan Kyotong1 : 2
    2ByeBusan
    4ByeSuwon FC
    5Gwangju FCBye
    7Gyeongju KHNPBye
    8Seoul JungnangPaju Citizen0 : 3
    9Ulsan HDBye
    13Gimhae JaemicsChuncheon2 : 4
    14ByeIncheon
    15GyeongnamBye
    16Pyeongchang UnitedYangpyeong2 : 1
    17HyochangGijang United0 : 4
    18ByeGimpo FC
    19Cheonan CityBye
    20CheongsolPocheon0 : 5
    24ByePohang
    25Yeoju CitizenMokpo4 : 3
    26ByeBucheon FC 1995
    28ByeJeju SK
    29Gimcheon SangmuBye
    31Suwon BluewingsBye
    32ByeSeoul E-Land
    33Incheon SeogotDaejeon Korail0 : 9
    34ByeCheongju
    35ChangwonBye
    36GeonyungNamyangju1 : 5
    40ByeSeoul
    41Dangjin CitizenGangneung1 : 2
    42ByeAsan
    44ByeDaejeon
    45JeonbukBye
    47Ansan GreenersBye
    48Jeonbuk JeonjuPyeongtaek Citizen0 : 6
    49Sejong SAUlsan Citizen3 : 0
    50ByeJeonnam
    52ByeAnyang
    53DaeguBye
    55GimhaeBye
    56Yangcheon TNTGeoje0 : 1
    57GangwonBye
    61Siheung CitizenBye
    62ByeSeongnam
    63HwaseongBye
    64Jinju CitizenYeoncheon1 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Busan KyotongBusan2 : 1
    2ByeSuwon FC
    3Gwangju FCBye
    4Gyeongju KHNPPaju Citizen4 : 1
    5Ulsan HDBye
    7ChuncheonIncheon0 : 3
    8GyeongnamPyeongchang United0 : 3
    9Gijang UnitedGimpo FC0 : 4
    10Cheonan CityPocheon1 : 0
    12ByePohang
    13Yeoju CitizenBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    14ByeJeju SK
    15Gimcheon SangmuBye
    16Suwon BluewingsSeoul E-Land2 : 1
    17Daejeon KorailCheongju1 : 0
    18ChangwonNamyangju1 : 2
    20ByeSeoul
    21GangneungAsan1 : 0
    22ByeDaejeon
    23JeonbukBye
    24Ansan GreenersPyeongtaek Citizen3 : 1
    25Sejong SAJeonnam3 : 1
    26ByeAnyang
    27DaeguBye
    28GimhaeGeoje5 : 1
    29GangwonBye
    31Siheung CitizenSeongnam3 : 2
    32HwaseongJinju Citizen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Busan KyotongSuwon FC1 : 2
    2Gwangju FCGyeongju KHNP2 : 0
    3Ulsan HDBye
    4IncheonPyeongchang United2 : 1
    5Gimpo FCCheonan City2 : 1
    6ByePohang
    7Bucheon FC 1995Jeju SK1 : 0
    8Gimcheon SangmuSuwon Bluewings2 : 0
    9Daejeon KorailNamyangju3 : 0
    10ByeSeoul
    11GangneungDaejeon1 : 2
    12JeonbukAnsan Greeners3 : 0
    13Sejong SAAnyang0 : 1
    14DaeguGimhae2 : 0
    15GangwonBye
    16Siheung CitizenHwaseong1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Suwon FCGwangju FC1 : 2
    2Ulsan HDIncheon3 : 0
    3Gimpo FCPohang2 : 1
    4Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu3 : 1
    5Daejeon KorailSeoul1 : 2
    6DaejeonJeonbuk2 : 3
    7AnyangDaegu1 : 2
    8GangwonSiheung Citizen2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gwangju FCUlsan HD1 : 0
    2Gimpo FCBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    3SeoulJeonbuk0 : 1
    4DaeguGangwon1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gwangju FCBucheon FC 19952 : 1, 2 : 0
    2JeonbukGangwon2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gwangju FCJeonbuk
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