Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 18

Match Stats


Goals
9	15
Behinds
12	13
Kicks
190	241
Handballs
154	142
Disposals
344	383
Frees For
20	25
Frees Against
25	20
Clearances Completed
37	29
Marks
69	130
Tackles
59	69
Hitouts
45	40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (21 - 34)
01:38, Bailey Z. (Behind),
02:00, Bailey Z. (Behind),
05:37, Berry J. (G),
07:22, Cameron C. (G),
09:12, Hipwood E. (G),
10:36, Fantasia O. (G),
14:02, Hipwood E. (Behind),
19:53, Bailey Z. (Behind),
22:50, Williams Z. (G),
24:18, Rayner C. (G),
26:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
26:21, Cripps P. (Behind),
27:57, Moir A. (Behind),
29:23, Morris L. (G),
32:42, Pittonet M. (G),
2nd Quarter (21 - 38)
01:04, Cameron C. (G),
10:15, Ashcroft W. (G),
13:19, Pittonet M. (G),
14:57, Curnow C. (Behind),
17:16, McCluggage H. (G),
19:54, Cripps P. (G),
21:14, Durdin C. (G),
22:59, Morris L. (G),
24:43, Cameron C. (Behind),
26:45, Cripps P. (Behind),
28:01, Cameron C. (Behind),
29:06, Motlop J. (Behind),
29:59, Ashcroft L. (G),
31:38, Cameron C. (G),
3rd Quarter (4 - 26)
01:56, (Behind Rushed),
09:10, McCluggage H. (Behind),
10:25, Lohmann K. (G),
13:55, Bailey Z. (G),
15:07, Moir A. (Behind),
16:10, Fort D. (G),
19:18, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
20:22, Moir A. (Behind),
23:31, Fogarty L. (Behind),
25:38, Rayner C. (G),
4th Quarter (20 - 5)
00:51, Cameron C. (Behind),
03:05, De Koning T. (G),
06:27, Hewett G. (G),
06:27, Hewett G. (G),
10:22, Hipwood E. (Behind),
12:49, Morris L. (Behind),
13:49, (Behind Rushed),
18:49, Bailey Z. (Behind),
20:42, O'Farrell H. (Behind),
21:49, Williams Z. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Carlton Blues
22.3%

Brisbane Lions
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.04)		1.23 ↓ (1.39)	6.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Brisbane is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1399:1734. (average 70:86.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 549:634. (average 68.6:79.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Brisbane Lions?

Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Carlton Blues?

Brisbane Lions has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions were as follows:

07.09.2024 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 99:71

08.03.2024 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 85:86

23.09.2023 Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues 79:63

05.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions 74:100

Latest results of Carlton Blues

04.07.2025 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 59:115 ✺

26.06.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues 110:60 ✺

20.06.2025 Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos 73:84 ✺

15.06.2025 West Coast Eagles - Carlton Blues 52:86 ✺

08.06.2025 Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers 78:70 ✺

Latest results of Brisbane Lions

05.07.2025 Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power 120:92 ✺

20.06.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 51:92 ✺

13.06.2025 Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants 96:107 ✺

06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63 ✺

29.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 90:72 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
2	Adelaide Crows	19	14	0	5	1918:1314	145.97	56
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	19	13	0	6	1677:1399	119.87	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3