Result
22:26
05/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : NRL - Play Offs - Final
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 75 | 60 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 188 | 192 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1726 | 1752 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (22 - 12)
- 3', Mariner D. (Try),
- 4', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Meaney N. (Try),
- 9', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Katoa E. (Try),
- 16', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 23', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 31', Walsh R. (Try),
- 32', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Hughes J. (Try),
- 36', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 14)
- 46', Shibasaki G. (Try),
- 47', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
- 55', Mariner D. (Try),
- 58', Shibasaki G. (Try),
- 59', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Storm
52.2% | Draw
4.5% | Brisbane Broncos
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.72) |
20.27 ↓
(23.5) |
2.15 ↓
(2.23) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 41.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos?
Users Predictions:
Brisbane Broncos will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:20.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
- Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Melbourne has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 616:286. (average 30.8:14.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 250:116. (average 27.8:12.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Brisbane Broncos?
Melbourne Storm has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Broncos won against Melbourne Storm?
Brisbane Broncos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
04.09.2025
Brisbane Broncos
-
Melbourne Storm
30:14
07.08.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
Brisbane Broncos
22:2
05.09.2024
Brisbane Broncos
-
Melbourne Storm
12:50
04.04.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Brisbane Broncos
34:32
08.09.2023
Brisbane Broncos
-
Melbourne Storm
26:0
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | 26 : 18 |
| 3 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Cronulla Sharks (5) | Sydney Roosters (8) | 20 : 10 |
| 5 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 28 : 29 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Bye | |
| 8 | New Zealand Warriors (6) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 8 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 12 : 32 |
| 3 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 26 : 46 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 22 : 14 |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 16 : 14 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 22 : 26 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 9 HD, Nine |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
