Brest vs Sturm Graz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Brest - Sturm Graz
Result
2:1
19/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Brest - Sturm Graz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.14
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
135
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
21
Free Kicks
2915
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
06
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1420
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
36
Total Passes
397336
Completed Passes
320264
Clearances Completed
1326
Crosses Completed
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Wuthrich G. , Johnston M. ,
  • 21', Horvat T. 🟨,
  • 22', Johnston M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Magnetti H. ,
  • 37', Sima A. 🟨,
  • 40', Lavalee D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Fernandes E. (Own goal), Boving W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Horvat T. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Sima A. , Ajorque L. (A),
  • 59', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 60', Jatta S. , Zvonarek L. ,
  • 62', Faivre R. , Del Castillo R. ,
  • 64', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 71', Camara M. , Martin J. ,
  • 71', Fernandes E. , Doumbia K. ,
  • 78', Biereth M. , Yardimci E. ,
  • 78', Kiteishvili O. , Camara A. ,
  • 83', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
  • 84', Amavi J. , Haidara M. ,
  • 84', Sima A. , Pereira Lage M. ,
  • 85', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 89', Lavalee D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brest
48.1%
Draw
26.4%
Sturm Graz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 27% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Brest - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.87)
    3.66
    (3.71)
    3.79
    (4.21)
    3.5%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Brest - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Sturm will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.4%73%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sturm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Brest will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Brest: Lees-Melou P. (Leg Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Brest
    31.08.2024 Brest - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    25.08.2024 Lens - Brest 2:0
    10.08.2024 Newcastle United - Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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