Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 4
- Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (202/266) | 91% (514/567) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (202/266) | 91% (514/567) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 81% (127/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Thiago I. 🟨,
- 30', Hato J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Schade K. ⚽, Henderson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Buonanotte F. ↓, George T. ↑,
- 46', Fofana W. ↓, James R. ↑,
- 46', Hato J. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
- 56', Gittens J. ↓, Palmer C. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
- 64', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
- 72', Thiago I. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
- 73', Jensen M. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
- 79', Joao Pedro ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
- 82', Pinnock E. 🟨,
- 83', Pinnock E. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
- 83', Kayode M. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Caicedo M. ⚽,
- 90', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
- 90+1', George T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Carvalho F. ⚽, Ajer K. (A),
Chances of winning
Brentford
6.4% | Draw
26.9% | Chelsea
66.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brentford's form might have worsened.Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brentford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brentford - Chelsea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
20.27 ↑
(4.47) |
4.33 ↑
(3.88) |
1.7 ↓
(1.78) |
-13%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brentford - Chelsea?
Users Predictions:
108 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 17 - 15.7%). Chelsea will win (votes: 83 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 69% – 84.8%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2.
- In recent matches, Brentford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chelsea is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B.
(Knock)
Colwill L.
(Knee Injury)
Delap L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Essugo D.
(Thigh Injury)
Lavia R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mudryk M.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Brentford: Janelt V.
(Heel Injury)
Konak Y. E.
(Ankle Injury)
Maghoma P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Chelsea?
Brentford has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Brentford?
Chelsea has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Chelsea were as follows:
06.04.2025
Brentford
-
Chelsea
0:0
15.12.2024
Chelsea
-
Brentford
2:1
02.03.2024
Brentford
-
Chelsea
2:2
28.10.2023
Chelsea
-
Brentford
0:2
19.10.2022
Brentford
-
Chelsea
0:0
Latest results of Brentford
Latest results of Chelsea
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Manchester Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Burnley | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
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