Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
4:2
19/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 33
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.29
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
81% (337/418)84% (402/477)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.221.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.461.58
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
3532
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
117
Passes
81% (337/418)84% (402/477)
Long passes
46% (33/71)43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
71% (77/109)75% (121/161)
Crosses
44% (8/18)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.391.14
Fouls
711
Tackles
60% (12/20)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5444
Clearances Total
2326
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.583.46
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Lewis-Potter K. (A),
  • 18', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 40', Welbeck D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Wieffer M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Wissa Y. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 1, Wissa Y. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
  • 61', Joao Pedro 🟥,
  • 65', Minteh Y. ↓, March S. ↑,
  • 65', O'Riley M. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
  • 66', Kayode M. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
  • 76', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
  • 76', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
  • 77', Welbeck D. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
  • 77', Baleba C. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Mitoma K. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
  • 87', Damsgaard M. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
  • 87', Schade K. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
  • 89', Wieffer M. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Jensen M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Estupinan P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 2, Norgaard C. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),
  • 90+7', Collins N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 90+16', Konak Y. E. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
  • 90+20', van Hecke J. P. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brentford
36.9%		Draw
26.7%		Brighton & Hove Albion
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 25.9% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 26% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.48)    		 3.6 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.64 ↓
    (2.73)    		 4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 16 - 39%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 46.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 61.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Brentford (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 0.
    • Recent matches Brentford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brighton & Hove is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Shoulder Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Hamstring Injury) Thiago I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Igor (Thigh Injury) Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Lamptey T. (Ankle Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Rutter G. (Ankle Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury) Veltman J. (Ankle Injury) Webster A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Brentford won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    27.12.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford 0:0
    03.04.2024 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:0
    06.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford 2:1
    26.07.2023 Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2
    01.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford 3:3
    Latest results of Brentford
    12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 0:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 1:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    12.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Leicester City 2:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest 0:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool38259486:414584
    2Arsenal382014469:343574
    3Manchester City38218972:442871
    4Chelsea38209964:432169
    5Newcastle382061268:472166
    6Aston Villa381991058:51766
    7Nottingham381981158:461265
    8Brighton381613966:59761
    9Bournemouth3815111258:461256
    10Brentford381681466:57956
    11Fulham381591454:54054
    12Crystal Palace3813141151:51053
    13Everton3811151242:44-248
    14West Ham3811101746:62-1643
    15Manchester Utd381191844:54-1042
    16Wolves381262054:69-1542
    17Tottenham381152264:65-138
    18Leicester38672533:80-4725
    19Ipswich384102436:82-4622
    20Southampton38263026:86-6012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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