Arsenal vs Brentford: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Emirates Stadium (London).

: Premier League - Round 32
Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.19
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
14	3
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
13	5
Passes
87% (417/479)	78% (215/277)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.26
Total shots
14	3
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
13	5
Touches in opposition box
38	16
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
87% (417/479)	78% (215/277)
Long passes
31% (10/32)	44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
80% (158/197)	58% (46/79)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.46
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
50% (2/4)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
34	39
Clearances Total
13	34
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.26	0.30
Goals prevented
-0.74	-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Norgaard C. 🟨,
34', Schade K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Partey T. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
62', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
62', Tierney K. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
63', Nwaneri E. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
69', Partey T. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
69', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
69', Ajer K. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Wissa Y. ⚽, Collins N. (A),
75', Rice D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
78', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
80', Damsgaard M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
90+1', Norgaard C. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
90+4', Odegaard M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arsenal
58.4%

Draw
23.1%

Brentford
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.4%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal - Brentford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.42)	4.16 ↓ (5.06)	5.21 ↓ (7.51)	3.8% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : NBC (4K)

What is the prediction for Arsenal - Brentford?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 4.
Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Brentford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.
In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Shoulder Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Thiago I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Arsenal: Rice D. (Ankle Injury) Saka B. (Injury)
There are questionable in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Back Injury) Hickey A. (Hamstring Injury)
Our prediction for today's Arsenal to win the game is with odds 1.67.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Brentford?

Arsenal has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Arsenal?

Brentford has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Brentford were as follows:

01.01.2025 Brentford - Arsenal 1:3

09.03.2024 Arsenal - Brentford 2:1

25.11.2023 Brentford - Arsenal 0:1

27.09.2023 Brentford - Arsenal 0:1

11.02.2023 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1

Latest results of Arsenal

08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Everton - Arsenal 1:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Arsenal - Chelsea 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Brentford

06.04.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 0:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Brentford - Everton 1:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86:41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69:34	35	74
3	Manchester City	38	21	8	9	72:44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64:43	21	69
5	Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68:47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58:51	7	66
7	Nottingham	38	19	8	11	58:46	12	65
8	Brighton	38	16	13	9	66:59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58:46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66:57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54:54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51:51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42:44	-2	48
14	West Ham	38	11	10	17	46:62	-16	43
15	Manchester Utd	38	11	9	18	44:54	-10	42
16	Wolves	38	12	6	20	54:69	-15	42
17	Tottenham	38	11	5	22	64:65	-1	38
18	Leicester	38	6	7	25	33:80	-47	25
19	Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36:82	-46	22
20	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26:86	-60	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Brentford?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+