Bradford City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Bradford City - Luton Town
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Bradford City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.910.31
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Long passes
25% (18/71)48% (38/79)
Passes in final third
56% (75/134)70% (103/148)
Crosses
22% (4/18)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.97
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (12/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.312.91
Goals prevented
-0.690.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 24', Alli M. , Kodua G. ,
  • 27', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
  • 30', Pointon B. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Humphrys S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lonwijk N. , Bramall C. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Pointon B. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 52', Baptiste S. , Nordas L. ,
  • 67', Dabo L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 67', Saville G. , Walsh L. ,
  • 69', Humphrys S. , Swan W. ,
  • 78', Pointon B. , Wright T. ,
  • 78', Leigh T. , Metcalfe J. ,
  • 82', Power M. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kodua G. , Bramall C. (A),
  • 89', Sarcevic A. , Kelly C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bradford City
28.4%
Draw
28.5%
Luton Town
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.3% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Bradford City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.44)
    3.28
    (3.32)
    2.17
    (2.12)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bradford City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bradford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Huddersfield1161417:13419
    8Bolton1245316:14217
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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