Bradford City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Bradford City - Luton Town
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Bradford City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.910.31
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Long passes
25% (18/71)48% (38/79)
Passes in final third
56% (75/134)70% (103/148)
Crosses
22% (4/18)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.97
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (12/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.312.91
Goals prevented
-0.690.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 24', Alli M. , Kodua G. ,
  • 27', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
  • 30', Pointon B. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Humphrys S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lonwijk N. , Bramall C. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Pointon B. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 52', Baptiste S. , Nordas L. ,
  • 67', Dabo L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 67', Saville G. , Walsh L. ,
  • 69', Humphrys S. , Swan W. ,
  • 78', Pointon B. , Wright T. ,
  • 78', Leigh T. , Metcalfe J. ,
  • 82', Power M. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kodua G. , Bramall C. (A),
  • 89', Sarcevic A. , Kelly C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bradford City
28.4%
Draw
28.5%
Luton Town
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.3% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Bradford City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.44)
    3.28
    (3.32)
    2.17
    (2.12)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bradford City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bradford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City962117:11620
    2Stevenage861112:6619
    3Lincoln953114:9518
    4Cardiff852113:5817
    5Huddersfield951315:11416
    6Barnsley851214:10416
    7Doncaster951310:10016
    8Stockport County943214:12215
    9AFC Wimbledon950412:11115
    10Bolton935114:8614
    11Luton840411:9212
    12Wigan933314:13112
    13Mansfield932413:12111
    14Leyton Orient932411:15-411
    15Northampton83145:8-310
    16Exeter930610:11-19
    17Plymouth930611:18-79
    18Wycombe922510:11-18
    19Port Vale92258:10-28
    20Reading82249:13-48
    21Rotherham82156:11-57
    22Blackpool82158:14-67
    23Peterborough92167:15-87
    24Burton71245:10-55

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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