St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

: Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	0.53
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
26	5
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Passes
86% (470/549)	76% (242/320)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.05	0.91
Total shots
26	5
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
11	0
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
14	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Touches in opposition box
38	10
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
86% (470/549)	76% (242/320)
Long passes
36% (17/47)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
76% (158/208)	47% (24/51)
Crosses
13% (5/38)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	0.45
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
62% (8/13)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
46	36
Clearances Total
10	57
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.91	2.05
Goals prevented
-0.09	1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Itakura K. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Ullrich L. 🟨,
61', Ritzka L. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
61', Ullrich L. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
61', Honorat F. ↓, Chiarodia F. C. ↑,
74', Saad E. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
74', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
75', Plea A. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
76', Netz L. 🟨,
83', Sinani D. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Afolayan O. ⚽, Smith E. (A),
86', Kleindienst T. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
86', Hack R. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
42.2%

Draw
27.3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)	3.52 ↓ (3.52)	3.16 ↑ (2.96)	3.8% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
Recent matches St. Pauli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia M is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Van Der Heyden S. (Thigh Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Borussia M: Nicolas M. (Groin Injury) Omlin J. (Groin Injury) Sander P. (Illness) Swider N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 6 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Borussia Mönchengladbach?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Mönchengladbach won against St. Pauli?

Borussia Mönchengladbach has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach were as follows:

24.11.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0

14.01.2023 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 0:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Mönchengladbach

29.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Viktoria Köln 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:4 ✺

07.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz 1:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Kosovo	SuperSport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball