Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (164/250) | 85% (442/517) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (164/250) | 85% (442/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/71) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 70% (86/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Coulibaly L. ⚽,
- 30', Dallinga T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kouassi C. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 55', Gaspar K. 🟨,
- 61', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
- 62', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
- 66', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 66', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
- 68', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
- 68', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
- 68', Fabbian G. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 69', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
- 77', Coulibaly L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 77', Tete Morente ↓, Banda L. ↑,
- 83', Holm E. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
- 89', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Camarda F. ⚽, Berisha M. (A),
- 90+4', Camarda F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecce
20% | Draw
28.9% | Bologna
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Lecce - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(4.36) |
3.36 ↑
(3.27) |
1.89 ↓
(1.94) |
3.2%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecce - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 49.8% – 78.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
- Lecce is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bologna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lecce: Jean G.
(Knee Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
Perez M.
(Illness)
Rafia H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Casale N.
(Thigh Injury)
Immobile C.
(Thigh Injury)
Sulemana I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?
Bologna has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Bologna were as follows:
09.02.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
0:0
02.11.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
1:0
11.02.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
4:0
03.12.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
1:1
04.06.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
2:3
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Bologna?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Football |
