Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Bologna - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:1
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Bologna - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.97
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
173
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
40
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1815
Offsides
70
Fouls
1518
Yellow Cards
54
Throw-ins
2628
Touches in the Opposition Box
3010
Passes
79% (296/373)74% (261/351)
Passes in the final third
70% (73/105)54% (39/72)
Crosses
30% (7/23)11% (1/9)
Tackles
81% (17/21)50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
1520
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 20', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 35', Orsolini R. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Freuler R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 60', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 62', Beier M. 🟨,
  • 63', Lucumi J. , Casale N. ,
  • 64', Castro S. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 64', Duranville J. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 64', Reyna G. , Can E. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. , Odgaard J. (A),
  • 72', 2 - 1, Iling Junior S. , Dallinga T. (A),
  • 75', Gross P. , Couto Y. ,
  • 75', Guirassy S. , Brandt J. ,
  • 81', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 82', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Pobega T. , Moro N. ,
  • 90', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Italiano V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bologna
36.9%
Draw
28.9%
Borussia Dortmund
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 25.9% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 26.2% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bologna - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (3.94)
    3.33
    (3.7)
    2.81
    (1.93)
    4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Bologna - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 16.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 56.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia D is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Borussia D will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Yellow Cards) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3
    Latest results of Bologna
    18.01.2025 Bologna - Monza 3:1
    15.01.2025 Inter Milan - Bologna 2:2
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2
    30.12.2024 Bologna - Verona 2:3
    21.12.2024 Torino - Bologna 0:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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