Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Bologna - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:1
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Bologna - Borussia Dortmund - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.97
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
173
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
40
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1815
Offsides
70
Fouls
1518
Yellow Cards
54
Throw-ins
2628
Touches in the Opposition Box
3010
Passes
79% (296/373)74% (261/351)
Passes in the final third
70% (73/105)54% (39/72)
Crosses
30% (7/23)11% (1/9)
Tackles
81% (17/21)50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
1520
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 20', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 35', Orsolini R. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Freuler R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 60', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 62', Beier M. 🟨,
  • 63', Lucumi J. , Casale N. ,
  • 64', Castro S. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 64', Duranville J. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 64', Reyna G. , Can E. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. , Odgaard J. (A),
  • 72', 2 - 1, Iling Junior S. , Dallinga T. (A),
  • 75', Gross P. , Couto Y. ,
  • 75', Guirassy S. , Brandt J. ,
  • 81', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 82', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Pobega T. , Moro N. ,
  • 90', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Italiano V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bologna
36.9%
Draw
28.9%
Borussia Dortmund
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 25.9% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 26.2% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bologna - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (3.94)
    3.33
    (3.7)
    2.81
    (1.93)
    4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Bologna - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 16.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 56.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia D is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Borussia D will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Yellow Cards) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3
    Latest results of Bologna
    18.01.2025 Bologna - Monza 3:1
    15.01.2025 Inter Milan - Bologna 2:2
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2
    30.12.2024 Bologna - Verona 2:3
    21.12.2024 Torino - Bologna 0:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Borussia Dortmund?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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