River Plate vs Boca Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional River Plate - Boca Juniors
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
River Plate - Boca Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.38
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (274/344)81% (340/421)
Yellow Cards
65
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.222.33
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
80% (274/344)81% (340/421)
Long passes
31% (11/35)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
72% (93/129)60% (54/90)
Crosses
39% (7/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.03
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1213
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (15/26)
Duels won
5458
Clearances
2523
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
2.332.22
Goals prevented
1.330.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Belmonte T. 🟨,
  • 19', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 23', Rojo M. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mastantuono F. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel , Blanco L. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Driussi S. ,
  • 45+1', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 45+1', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Montiel G. , Bustos F. ,
  • 55', Giuliano Galoppo , Meza M. ,
  • 55', Meza M. 🟨,
  • 62', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 67', Belmonte T. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 67', Rojo M. , Di Lollo L. ,
  • 72', Colidio F. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 73', Perez E. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 74', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 75', Driussi S. , Miguel Borja ,
  • 85', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 87', Blanco L. , Saracchi M. ,
  • 90+1', Delgado M. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 90+2', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Castano K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
49.4%
Draw
29.3%
Boca Juniors
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 31.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 32.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.27)
    3.25
    (2.99)
    4.35
    (3.56)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for River Plate - Boca Juniors?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3.
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:1
    21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3
    25.02.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:1
    01.10.2023 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:2
    07.05.2023 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central3 : 0
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    6HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2
    7Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    8IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo
    2River PlatePlatense
    3Rosario CentralHuracan
    4Boca JuniorsIndependiente

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of River Plate - Boca Juniors?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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