Boca Juniors vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Independiente
Result
0:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.84
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Long passes
48% (23/48)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)82% (97/118)
Crosses
19% (5/27)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.58
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1411
Tackles
63% (20/32)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6545
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.840.34
Goals prevented
-0.160.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 48', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 57', Gimenez M. , Cavani E. ,
  • 57', Belmonte T. , Herrera A. ,
  • 61', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Angulo A. ,
  • 68', Zenon K. 🟨,
  • 70', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 77', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Cabral L. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 79', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 79', Delgado M. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 81', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 82', Montiel S. , Salle S. ,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 88', Rey R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
39.6%
Draw
32.3%
Independiente
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.5% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Boca Juniors - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.32)
    2.94
    (3.03)
    3.38
    (3.38)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Independiente?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Boca Juniors will win! (22 of 24 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Independiente were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    29.07.2023 Independiente - Boca Juniors 0:2
    07.01.2023 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    23.10.2022 Boca Juniors - Independiente 2:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central3 : 0
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    6IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0
    7Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    8HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo1 : 2
    2River PlatePlatense1 : 2
    3Boca JuniorsIndependiente0 : 1
    4Rosario CentralHuracan0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1San LorenzoPlatense0 : 1
    2IndependienteHuracan0 : 1

    Final
    1PlatenseHuracan1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Boca Juniors - Independiente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, TyC Sports
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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