Boca Juniors vs Independiente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Independiente
Result
0:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Independiente - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.84
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Long passes
48% (23/48)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)82% (97/118)
Crosses
19% (5/27)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.58
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1411
Tackles
63% (20/32)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6545
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.840.34
Goals prevented
-0.160.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 48', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 57', Gimenez M. , Cavani E. ,
  • 57', Belmonte T. , Herrera A. ,
  • 61', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Angulo A. ,
  • 68', Zenon K. 🟨,
  • 70', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 77', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Cabral L. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 79', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 79', Delgado M. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 81', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 82', Montiel S. , Salle S. ,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 88', Rey R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
39.6%
Draw
32.3%
Independiente
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.5% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Boca Juniors - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.32)
    2.94
    (3.03)
    3.38
    (3.38)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Independiente were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    29.07.2023 Independiente - Boca Juniors 0:2
    07.01.2023 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    23.10.2022 Boca Juniors - Independiente 2:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Banfield21102:114
    2Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    3Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    4Belgrano21013:123
    5Newells Old Boys21013:303
    6Tigre21013:303
    7Racing Club21011:103
    8Barracas Central21011:3-23
    9Boca Juniors20201:102
    10Central Cordoba20201:102
    11Aldosivi10100:001
    12Defensa y Justicia10100:001
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Estudiantes L.P10010:1-10
    15Huracan10010:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6Dep. Riestra11001:013
    7Instituto21011:4-33
    8Sarmiento Junin20202:202
    9Godoy Cruz20201:102
    10Independiente10102:201
    11Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    12Platense20111:3-21
    13San Martin S.J10011:2-10
    14Talleres Cordoba10011:2-10
    15Lanus20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Boca Juniors - Independiente?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+
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