Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.75
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
83% (302/365)81% (304/374)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.39
Total shots
811
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1114
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1918
Passes
83% (302/365)81% (304/374)
Long passes
56% (25/45)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)61% (46/75)
Crosses
21% (3/14)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.59
Fouls
1819
Tackles
93% (14/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4745
Clearances Total
3016
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.391.74
Goals prevented
0.39-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 27', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
  • 40', Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 42', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Carlos Palacios , Miguel Merentiel (A),
  • 51', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 52', Mansilla M. 🟨,
  • 62', Rojo M. , Costa A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 72', Miguel Merentiel , Miramon I. ,
  • 72', Blanco L. , Saracchi M. ,
  • 73', Palacios T. , Burgos T. ,
  • 73', Cetre E. , Farias F. ,
  • 81', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 82', Medina C. , Gimenez L. ,
  • 84', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 84', Delgado M. , Di Lollo L. ,
  • 90+5', Marchesin A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
44.4%
Draw
30.5%
Estudiantes La Plata
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 29.3% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 28.4% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.86)
    3.12
    (3.21)
    3.72
    (4.73)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0.
    • Boca Juniors is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Hamstring Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Yellow Cards) Burgos J. (Thigh Injury) Castro A. (Muscle Injury) Nunez S. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:1
    30.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 0:0
    22.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:3
    28.10.2023 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 0:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Tigre104339:7215
    4Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    5Boca Juniors935112:6614
    6Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    7Banfield104249:13-414
    8Belgrano93339:7212
    9Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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