Belgrano vs Boca Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Belgrano - Boca Juniors
Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Belgrano - Boca Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.993.43
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1416
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
816
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Long passes
33% (25/75)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)57% (58/102)
Crosses
31% (5/16)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.15
Fouls
168
Tackles
94% (15/16)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4861
Clearances Total
2117
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
3.430.99
Goals prevented
0.43-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. , Cavani E. (A),
  • 67', Blondel L. , Advincula L. ,
  • 67', Gimenez M. , Costa A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ,
  • 77', Zenon K. , Miramon I. ,
  • 77', Cavani E. , Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 77', Menossi L. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 83', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 90', Grillo F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
28.9%
Draw
31.2%
Boca Juniors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 30.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Belgrano - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    2.35
    (2.33)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Cravero T. (Ankle Injury) Ostchega T. (Finger Injury) Reyna B. (Ankle Injury) Troilo M. (Yellow Cards) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zelarayan L. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 2:0
    03.03.2024 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 3:2
    10.10.2023 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 4:3
    14.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 2:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Tigre104339:7215
    4Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    5Boca Juniors935112:6614
    6Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    7Banfield104249:13-414
    8Belgrano93339:7212
    9Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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