Belgrano vs Boca Juniors: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Belgrano - Boca Juniors
Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Belgrano - Boca Juniors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.993.43
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1416
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
816
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Long passes
33% (25/75)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)57% (58/102)
Crosses
31% (5/16)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.15
Fouls
168
Tackles
94% (15/16)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4861
Clearances Total
2117
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
3.430.99
Goals prevented
0.43-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. , Cavani E. (A),
  • 67', Blondel L. , Advincula L. ,
  • 67', Gimenez M. , Costa A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ,
  • 77', Zenon K. , Miramon I. ,
  • 77', Cavani E. , Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 77', Menossi L. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 83', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 90', Grillo F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
28.9%
Draw
31.2%
Boca Juniors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 30.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Belgrano - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    2.35
    (2.33)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Cravero T. (Ankle Injury) Ostchega T. (Finger Injury) Reyna B. (Ankle Injury) Troilo M. (Yellow Cards) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zelarayan L. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 2:0
    03.03.2024 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 3:2
    10.10.2023 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 4:3
    14.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 2:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Argentinos JrsInstituto3 : 1
    2San LorenzoTigre2 : 1
    3River PlateBarracas Central3 : 0
    4Racing ClubPlatense0 : 1
    5Boca JuniorsLanus1 : 0
    6IndependienteInd. Rivadavia1 : 0
    7Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.2 : 0
    8HuracanDep. Riestra3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Argentinos JrsSan Lorenzo1 : 2
    2River PlatePlatense1 : 2
    3Boca JuniorsIndependiente0 : 1
    4Rosario CentralHuracan0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1San LorenzoPlatense0 : 1
    2IndependienteHuracan0 : 1

    Final
    1PlatenseHuracan1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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