Birmingham City vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English FA Cup Birmingham City - Newcastle United
Result
2:3
08/02/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals
Birmingham City - Newcastle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.432.84
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
69
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
24
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
21
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
1827
Touches in the Opposition Box
1935
Passes
74% (200/271)83% (381/461)
Passes in the final third
56% (48/85)74% (99/133)
Crosses
33% (5/15)6% (1/16)
Tackles
55% (11/20)68% (13/19)
Clearances Total
2418
Interceptions
163

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Laird E. , Anderson K. (A),
  • 14', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Willock J. , Osula W. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Wilson C. , Osula W. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 2, Iwata T. ,
  • 45+3', Osula W. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Anderson K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bruno Guimaraes , Tonali S. ,
  • 55', Wilson C. , Murphy J. ,
  • 55', Burn D. , Schar F. ,
  • 62', Leonard M. , Willumsson W. T. ,
  • 66', Stansfield J. 🟨,
  • 68', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 71', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 75', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,
  • 76', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,
  • 76', Anderson K. , May A. ,
  • 77', Wright S. , Bielik K. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Willock J. , Longstaff S. (A),
  • 84', Iwata T. , Hanley G. ,
  • 90+14', Osula W. , Isak A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
20.3%
Draw
23%
Newcastle United
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.6% 19.4% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 17.7% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Birmingham City - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (6.1)
    4.16
    (4.89)
    1.68
    (1.46)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newcastle will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Newcastle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Newcastle is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1AFC FyldeBye
    2WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    3SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    4ByeDarlington
    5AFC TelfordBye
    6ByeKidderminster
    7KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    8EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    9MacclesfieldBye
    10Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    11AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    12TraffordStockton2 : 1
    13Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    14Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    15BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    16StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    17KendalDunston0 : 1
    18Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    19CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    20RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    24ByeHartlepool
    25CarlisleBye
    32ByeBoston Utd
    33RochdaleBye
    40ByeYork City
    41Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    42West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    43HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    44ByeScarborough
    45Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    46ByeMarine
    47BuxtonBye
    48RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    49MorecambeBye
    53WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    54ByeChester
    55Curzon AshtonBye
    56Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    57South ShieldsBye
    58Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    59WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    60ByeChorley
    61IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    62ByeAlfreton
    63BedfordBye
    64ByeDag & Red
    65TamworthBye
    69HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    70LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    71MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    72Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    73ScunthorpeBye
    77RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    78BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    82HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    83SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    84AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    88ByeGateshead
    89West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    90ByeSpennymoor
    91Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    92Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    93ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    94HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    95BillericayBarton4 : 1
    96BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    97MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    98WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    99RadcliffeBye
    100ByeSouthport
    104ByeFC Halifax
    105AltrinchamBye
    109HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    110ByeWorksop
    111Peterborough SportsBye
    112ByeHornchurch
    113Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    114ByeBath
    115Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    116ByeWorthing
    120ByeForest Green
    121HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    122March TownGorleston1 : 3
    123Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    124StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    125Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    126FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    127BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    128TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    129WokingBye
    136ByeBrackley Town
    137WealdstoneBye
    141Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    142Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    143HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    144TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    145Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    146Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    147UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    148ByeSlough
    149Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    150ByeEnfield Town
    151QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    152Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    153WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    154FairfordSholing0 : 2
    155Eastbourne BoroBye
    156EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    160ByeBoreham Wood
    161Merthyr TownBye
    162Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    163Hampton & RichmondBye
    164SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    168ByeEastleigh
    169SouthendBye
    173WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    174ByeHorsham FC
    175FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    176ByeMaidstone
    177EbbsfleetBye
    178Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    179MaidenheadBye
    180FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    184ByeSolihull Moors
    185BraintreeBye
    189Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    190ByeOxford City
    191FarnboroughBye
    192ByeDover
    193ChertseyThame2 : 1
    194RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    195Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    196ByeTonbridge
    197Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    198ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    199DealCobham2 : 0
    200BeckenhamEgham2 : 3
    201GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    202DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    203TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    204ByeWeston-super-Mare
    205Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    206EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    207HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    208WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    209Hemel HempsteadBye
    210Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    211Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    212ByeHereford
    216ByeYeovil
    217CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    218KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    219WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    220MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    221BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    222NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    223Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    224Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    225AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    226ByeLeamington
    227ChelmsfordBye
    228Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    229Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    230Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    231GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    232ByeChippenham
    233AFC TottonBye
    234ByeTorquay
    235Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    236Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4
    240ByeTruro
    241SalisburyBye
    242Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    243DorkingBye
    244CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    248ByeAldershot
    249WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    250Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    251Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    252SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    256ByeSutton

    Quarter-finals
    1AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    2BootleDarlington1 : 3
    3AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    4Racing Club WarwickEvesham0 : 1, 3 : 3
    5MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    6NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    7Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    8ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    9DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    10GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    12ByeHartlepool
    13CarlisleBye
    16ByeBoston Utd
    17RochdaleBye
    20ByeYork City
    21Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    22Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    23Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    24BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    25MorecambeBye
    27StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    28Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    29South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    30CongletonChorley0 : 1
    31Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    32BedfordDag & Red0 : 1, 1 : 1
    33TamworthBye
    35HydeWhitby2 : 0
    36MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    37ScunthorpeBye
    39RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 6, 1 : 1
    42SudburyAveley1 : 2
    44ByeGateshead
    45West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    46FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    47ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    48BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    49MorpethWitton2 : 1
    50RadcliffeSouthport2 : 3, 1 : 1
    52ByeFC Halifax
    53AltrinchamBye
    55HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    56Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    57WimborneBath2 : 1
    58Jersey BullsWorthing0 : 5, 2 : 2
    60ByeForest Green
    61Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    62Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    63Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    64BracknellTadley2 : 0
    65WokingBye
    68ByeBrackley Town
    69WealdstoneBye
    71Whitstable TownChichester1 : 0, 1 : 1
    72HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    73Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    74WellingSlough0 : 1, 1 : 1
    75Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    76QuornKettering2 : 1
    77FarehamSholing0 : 3
    78Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    80ByeBoreham Wood
    81Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    82Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    84ByeEastleigh
    85SouthendBye
    87WestfieldHorsham FC0 : 6, 2 : 2
    88FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    89EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    90MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    92ByeSolihull Moors
    93BraintreeBye
    95Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    96FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    97ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    98Steyning TownTonbridge1 : 6, 2 : 2
    99Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    100DealEgham2 : 1
    101GosportPoole0 : 3
    102TauntonWeston-super-Mare0 : 3, 1 : 1
    103Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    104Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 2, 0 : 0
    105Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    106Sporting KhalsaHereford2 : 3
    108ByeYeovil
    109LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    110ChasetownBanbury1 : 2, 0 : 0
    111Bury TownWoodford Town0 : 1, 1 : 1
    112HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    113AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    114ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    115WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    116GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    117AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    118Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 2, 1 : 1
    120ByeTruro
    121SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    122DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    124ByeAldershot
    125Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    126BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    128ByeSutton

    Semi-finals
    1AFC FyldeDarlington1 : 3, 2 : 2
    2AFC TelfordEvesham4 : 1
    3MacclesfieldNantwich2 : 0
    4Sutton ColdfieldStamford0 : 1
    5DunstonGainsborough1 : 2
    6ByeHartlepool
    7CarlisleBye
    8ByeBoston Utd
    9RochdaleBye
    10ByeYork City
    11Runcorn LinnetsAshton Utd2 : 1, 1 : 1
    12MarineBuxton2 : 3
    13MorecambeBye
    14ChesterCurzon Ashton5 : 1
    15South ShieldsChorley4 : 1
    16Spalding UnitedDag & Red2 : 1
    17TamworthBye
    18HydeMatlock1 : 0
    19ScunthorpeBye
    20RoystonKingu2019s Lynn1 : 5
    21HalesowenAveley0 : 1, 0 : 0
    22ByeGateshead
    23SpennymoorChadderton3 : 0
    24HednesfordBillericay0 : 2, 0 : 0
    25MorpethSouthport1 : 3
    26ByeFC Halifax
    27AltrinchamBye
    28HarboroughPeterborough Sports4 : 1
    29WimborneWorthing0 : 3
    30ByeForest Green
    31Waltham AbbeyMaldon & Tiptree2 : 4
    32FlackwellBracknell3 : 0, 1 : 1
    33WokingBye
    34ByeBrackley Town
    35WealdstoneBye
    36Whitstable TownHungerford2 : 0
    37Bedfont SportsSlough1 : 2
    38Enfield TownQuorn5 : 1
    39SholingEastbourne Boro1 : 2
    40ByeBoreham Wood
    41Merthyr TownHampton & Richmond0 : 1
    42ByeEastleigh
    43SouthendBye
    44Horsham FCFolkestone2 : 3
    45EbbsfleetFaversham2 : 1
    46ByeSolihull Moors
    47BraintreeBye
    48Westbury UnitedFarnborough0 : 1
    49Cray ValleyTonbridge0 : 5, 0 : 0
    50ChathamDeal3 : 1
    51PooleWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    52Needham MarketWitham2 : 1
    53Hemel HempsteadHereford3 : 0, 2 : 2
    54ByeYeovil
    55LeistonBanbury0 : 3
    56Woodford TownSt. Albans0 : 1
    57AlvechurchChelmsford1 : 2
    58Walton & HershamChippenham0 : 2
    59AFC TottonFrome4 : 2
    60ByeTruro
    61SalisburyDorking2 : 4, 1 : 1
    62ByeAldershot
    63FarnhamDorchester3 : 0
    64ByeSutton

    Final
    1DarlingtonAFC Telford0 : 6
    2MacclesfieldStamford1 : 0
    3GainsboroughHartlepool3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4CarlisleBoston Utd5 : 2
    5RochdaleYork City1 : 2
    6Runcorn LinnetsBuxton0 : 1
    7MorecambeChester0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8South ShieldsSpalding United4 : 0
    9TamworthHyde1 : 0
    10ScunthorpeKingu2019s Lynn4 : 2
    11AveleyGateshead0 : 3
    12SpennymoorBillericay1 : 0
    13SouthportFC Halifax1 : 3
    14AltrinchamHarborough3 : 0, 2 : 2
    15WorthingForest Green1 : 4
    16Maldon & TiptreeFlackwell1 : 0
    17WokingBrackley Town2 : 6, 1 : 1
    18WealdstoneWhitstable Town5 : 1
    19SloughEnfield Town3 : 2
    20Eastbourne BoroBoreham Wood0 : 3
    21Hampton & RichmondEastleigh0 : 2
    22SouthendFolkestone4 : 1
    23EbbsfleetSolihull Moors2 : 0
    24BraintreeFarnborough2 : 0
    25TonbridgeChatham1 : 3
    26Weston-super-MareNeedham Market1 : 0
    27Hemel HempsteadYeovil2 : 1
    28BanburySt. Albans0 : 1, 1 : 1
    29ChelmsfordChippenham4 : 3
    30AFC TottonTruro2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31DorkingAldershot2 : 3
    32FarnhamSutton2 : 3, 3 : 3
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