Leicester City vs Birmingham City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Leicester City - Birmingham City
Result
2:0
29/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Leicester City - Birmingham City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.83
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (292/373)83% (371/448)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.17
Total shots
511
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
78% (292/373)83% (371/448)
Long passes
27% (13/48)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
63% (33/52)63% (75/119)
Crosses
100% (3/3)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.99
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1116
Tackles
55% (12/22)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.171.61
Goals prevented
0.17-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Fatawu I. , Page L. (A),
  • 45', Choudhury H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Page L. , Daka P. ,
  • 57', Fatawu I. 🟨,
  • 62', Furuhashi K. 🟨,
  • 64', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 66', Willumsson W. T. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Mavididi S. , Monga J. ,
  • 72', Choudhury H. , Pereira R. ,
  • 74', Gray D. 🟨,
  • 76', Pereira R. 🟨,
  • 77', Koumas L. , Doyle T. ,
  • 77', Furuhashi K. , Ducksch M. ,
  • 85', Neumann P. , Dykes L. ,
  • 87', Fatawu I. , Faes W. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Pereira R. , Monga J. (A),

Chances of winning


Leicester City
42.2%
Draw
30.2%
Birmingham City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 28.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Leicester City - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.33)
    3.3
    (3.32)
    3.75
    (3.09)
    -0.2%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leicester City - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 23.5%59.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Birmingham (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.
    • Leicester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Injury) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: El Khannouss B. (Inactive) Justin J. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Birmingham City were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Leicester City - Birmingham City 2:1
    27.01.2024 Leicester City - Birmingham City 3:0
    18.12.2023 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:3
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough44007:1612
    2West Brom43106:3310
    3Stoke43018:359
    4Leicester43016:339
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Swansea42114:227
    8Portsmouth42114:317
    9Preston42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Norwich42026:516
    12Millwall42023:6-36
    13Southampton41216:605
    14Watford41215:505
    15Wrexham41127:704
    16Charlton41122:4-24
    17Hull41125:9-44
    18QPR41126:11-54
    19Blackburn41034:5-13
    20Ipswich40314:5-13
    21Derby40227:11-42
    22Oxford Utd40134:7-31
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leicester City - Birmingham City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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