Chelsea vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stamford Bridge (London).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.86
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
88% (452/512)	82% (329/400)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.17	0.56
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
18	24
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
88% (452/512)	82% (329/400)
Long passes
62% (21/34)	26% (9/34)
Passes in final third
74% (79/107)	70% (58/83)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.70
Throw-ins
19	20
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
58% (18/31)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
61	46
Clearances
21	22
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.56	1.17
Goals prevented
0.56	1.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Rios R. (Own goal), Garnacho A. (A),
34', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
49', Rios R. 🟨,
54', Buonanotte F. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
61', George T. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
61', Garnacho A. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
62', Joao Pedro 🟨,
64', Aursnes F. 🟨,
73', Silva A. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
77', Lukebakio D. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
77', Sudakov G. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
77', Rios R. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
80', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
80', Badiashile B. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
83', Otamendi N. 🟨,
88', Neto P. 🟨,
89', Aursnes F. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
90+3', Mourinho J. 🟨,
90+6', Joao Pedro 🟨,

Chances of winning

Chelsea
71%

Draw
23.9%

Benfica
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

23.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chelsea - Benfica Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	4.79 ↑ (4.42)	25.47 ↑ (5.75)	-10.4% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Chelsea - Benfica?

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 60.9% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Benfica (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Chelsea is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Benfica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.
In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.
There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Calf Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Fofana W. (Concussion) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury) Sterling R. (Inactive)
There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Prestianni G. (International duty) Wynder J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Caicedo M. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Chelsea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Benfica?

Chelsea has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Chelsea?

Benfica has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Benfica were as follows:

28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4

Latest results of Chelsea

27.09.2025 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Manchester United - Chelsea 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Benfica

26.09.2025 Benfica - Gil Vicente 2:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 AVS - Benfica 0:3 ✺

16.09.2025 Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam 2:3 ✺

12.09.2025 Benfica - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Benfica?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	Sky Sport 254
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus