Rio Ave vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Liga Portugal Rio Ave - Benfica
Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 18
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
Rio Ave - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.192.47
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
724
Shots on target
18
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
311
Passes
82% (285/346)90% (539/601)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.192.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.251.16
Total shots
724
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
211
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
315
Shots outside the box
49
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
01
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
749
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
812
Passes
82% (285/346)90% (539/601)
Long passes
47% (21/45)58% (22/38)
Passes in final third
62% (34/55)80% (182/227)
Crosses
18% (2/11)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.49
Throw ins
2216
Fouls
128
Tackles
63% (10/16)75% (15/20)
Duels won
3549
Clearances
3413
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.160.25
Goals prevented
0.160.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Barreiro L. , Sudakov G. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Ntoi A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Schjelderup A. 🟨,
  • 62', Schjelderup A. , Lopes Cabral S. ,
  • 66', Ntoi A. 🟨,
  • 72', Ntoi A. , Papakanellos A. ,
  • 73', Andre Luiz , Pohlmann O. ,
  • 73', Athanasiou N. , Nikitscher T. ,
  • 78', Prestianni G. , Rego J. ,
  • 80', Aguilera Zamora B. , Liavas G. ,
  • 80', Spikic D. , Diogo Bezerra ,
  • 90', Sudakov G. , Manu ,
  • 90+1', Dahl S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rio Ave
10.5%
Draw
17.8%
Benfica
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 20.5% 66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 19.6% 69.5%

Rio Ave - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.96
(7.25)
5.35
(4.55)
1.31
(1.4)
6.1%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Benfica will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Benfica (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Rio Ave (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 25%). Benfica (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Richards O. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Rio Ave: Rafael Lobato (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Benfica: Rios R. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 20:51. (average 1:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Benfica were as follows:
23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1
27.10.2024 Benfica - Rio Ave 5:0
17.05.2024 Rio Ave - Benfica 1:1
14.01.2024 Benfica - Rio Ave 4:1
02.04.2023 Rio Ave - Benfica 0:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
04.01.2026 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 3:1
28.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 4:0
20.12.2025 Gil Vicente - Rio Ave 2:2
06.12.2025 AVS - Rio Ave 1:2
Latest results of Benfica
14.01.2026 Porto - Benfica 1:0
07.01.2026 Benfica - Braga 1:3
03.01.2026 Benfica - Estoril Praia 3:1
28.12.2025 Braga - Benfica 2:2
22.12.2025 Benfica - Famalicão 1:0
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1FC Porto18171037:43352
2Sporting CP18143150:94145
3Benfica18126038:112742
4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
5Braga1886432:181430
6Moreirense1883725:26-127
7Famalicao1875621:14726
8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
9Estoril1865733:29423
10Alverca1872919:28-923
11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
12Estrela1847723:32-919
13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
14Nacional1845922:28-617
15Arouca1845919:42-2317
16Casa Pia19361020:38-1815
17Tondela18331212:30-1812
18AFS19051414:47-335

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Rio Ave - Benfica?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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