Vélez Sársfield vs Belgrano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano
Result
1:1
26/10/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 19
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
1%1%
Goal Attempts
143
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
00
Corner Kicks
60
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Fouls
82
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
132103
Completed Passes
9456
Clearances Completed
615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. , Compagnucci G. (A),
  • 12', Troilo M. 🟨,
  • 13', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 23', Compagnucci G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quiros A. , Elias J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Fernandez T. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 54', Fernandez N. , Quignon F. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez F. , Reyna B. ,
  • 70', Menossi L. , Baldi A. ,
  • 73', Mammana E. 🟨,
  • 80', Jara F. , Chavarria P. ,
  • 80', Meriano N. , Heredia G. ,
  • 86', Ordonez C. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 90', Pizzini F. , Bosch B. ,
  • 90', Garcia J. , Lagos A. ,
  • 90+3', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Aquino C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
65.9%
Draw
22.3%
Belgrano
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 28.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.7% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.85)
    4.25
    (3.24)
    7.94
    (4.55)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
    • Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Vélez is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Santos M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Bustos L. (Injury) Daniele M. (Injury) Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Vélez won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano were as follows:
    17.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano 1:0
    03.06.2023 Belgrano - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Belgrano
    19.10.2024 Belgrano - Platense 0:1
    28.09.2024 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 2:0
    14.09.2024 Belgrano - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central742111:8314
    2Central Cordoba734010:4613
    3Boca Juniors73319:3612
    4Union de Santa Fe733110:5512
    5Defensa y Justicia73318:5312
    6Estudiantes L.P74038:8012
    7Huracan73225:6-111
    8Banfield73138:10-210
    9Argentinos Jrs72237:618
    10Ind. Rivadavia72238:9-18
    11Tigre72236:7-18
    12Belgrano72236:7-18
    13Newells Old Boys71336:8-26
    14Racing Club71156:12-64
    15Aldosivi70341:8-73


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate743014:41015
    2Velez Sarsfield74219:3614
    3Dep. Riestra74129:5413
    4San Lorenzo73315:3212
    5Rosario Central62404:2210
    6Gimnasia L.P73135:5010
    7Lanus73136:7-110
    8Atl. Tucuman72328:629
    9San Martin S.J72235:7-28
    10Godoy Cruz71337:10-36
    11Platense61325:8-36
    12Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    13Instituto71332:10-86
    14Talleres Cordoba71243:8-55
    15Independiente60334:7-33

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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