Barracas Central vs Belgrano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Barracas Central - Belgrano
Result
1:1
29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Barracas Central - Belgrano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.01
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
80% (304/378)81% (357/442)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.37
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
80% (304/378)81% (357/442)
Long passes
44% (24/55)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
67% (67/100)63% (82/130)
Crosses
28% (5/18)4% (1/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.01
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1515
Tackles
56% (9/16)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
3725
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.371.27
Goals prevented
0.370.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Candia J. , Mater F. (A),
  • 33', Miloc D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Morales G. , Rosane S. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Jara F. , Sporle A. (A),
  • 55', Demartini N. 🟨,
  • 61', Miloc D. , Barrios R. ,
  • 61', Tapia I. , Duarte M. ,
  • 67', Fernandez N. , Passerini L. ,
  • 79', Compagnucci G. , Reyna B. ,
  • 81', Reyna B. 🟨,
  • 90', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mater F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
33.1%
Draw
34.2%
Belgrano
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 29.2% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28.8% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.08)
    2.77
    (3.2)
    2.91
    (3.63)
    5.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Belgrano will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 57.7%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Belgrano (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Bruera F. (Yellow Cards) Lopez L. (Ankle Injury) Pianovi F. (Ankle Injury) Puig M. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Passerini L. (Muscle Injury) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez U. (Muscle Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Belgrano were as follows:
    21.11.2024 Barracas Central - Belgrano 1:1
    06.07.2023 Belgrano - Barracas Central 0:2
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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