Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.290.41
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
651486
Completed Passes
581415
Tackles
1414
Attacks
13761
Dangerous Attacks
7124
Clearances Completed
624
Crosses Completed
40
Distance Covered (km)
117120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. , Kane H. (A),
  • 69', Kroos T. , Modric L. ,
  • 70', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 76', Sane L. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 81', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Valverde F. , Joselu ,
  • 84', Kane H. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 85', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Joselu , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu , Rudiger A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bellingham J. , Militao E. ,
  • 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.2%
Draw
25%
Bayern Munich
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.86
    (3.78)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    3.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.43%88.83%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Muscle Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Coman K. (Muscle Injury) Guerreiro R. (Ankle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.05.2024 Real Madrid - Cádiz 3:0
    21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3
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