Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.290.41
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
651486
Completed Passes
581415
Tackles
1414
Attacks
13761
Dangerous Attacks
7124
Clearances Completed
624
Crosses Completed
40
Distance Covered (km)
117120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. , Kane H. (A),
  • 69', Kroos T. , Modric L. ,
  • 70', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 76', Sane L. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 81', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Valverde F. , Joselu ,
  • 84', Kane H. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 85', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Joselu , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu , Rudiger A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bellingham J. , Militao E. ,
  • 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.2%
Draw
25%
Bayern Munich
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.86
    (3.78)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    3.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.43%88.83%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Muscle Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Coman K. (Muscle Injury) Guerreiro R. (Ankle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.05.2024 Real Madrid - Cádiz 3:0
    21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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