Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.290.41
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
651486
Completed Passes
581415
Tackles
1414
Attacks
13761
Dangerous Attacks
7124
Clearances Completed
624
Crosses Completed
40
Distance Covered (km)
117120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. , Kane H. (A),
  • 69', Kroos T. , Modric L. ,
  • 70', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 76', Sane L. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 81', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Valverde F. , Joselu ,
  • 84', Kane H. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 85', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Joselu , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu , Rudiger A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bellingham J. , Militao E. ,
  • 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.2%
Draw
25%
Bayern Munich
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.86
    (3.78)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    3.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.43%88.83%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Muscle Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Coman K. (Muscle Injury) Guerreiro R. (Ankle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.05.2024 Real Madrid - Cádiz 3:0
    21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport
    albaniaAlbaniaRTSH
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Sport
    belgiumBelgiumRTL
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
    netherlandsNetherlandsRTL 7
    romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport, RTS Serbia
    swedenSwedenTV4
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