Bayern Munich vs Mainz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Arena (Munich).

: Bundesliga - Round 31
Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.65
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
90% (521/577)	82% (311/378)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.79	0.82
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
25	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
90% (521/577)	82% (311/378)
Long passes
54% (26/48)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
86% (162/188)	67% (65/97)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.54
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
64% (7/11)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
46	41
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.82	1.79
Goals prevented
0.82	-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Sane L. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
29', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
36', Mwene P. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Olise M. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
45+1', Kane H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Boey S. ↑,
72', Gnabry S. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
74', Mwene P. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
84', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
84', Sane L. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Dier E. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
86', Laimer K. 🟨,
86', Burkardt J. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
87', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
87', Nebel P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
88', Kane H. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
89', Amiri N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayern Munich
77.6%

Draw
13.5%

Mainz
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.3%

13.8%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bayern Munich - Mainz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.23)	7.11 ↑ (6.97)	11.08 ↓ (12.2)	3.9% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Mainz?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 3.
Recent matches Bayern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Mainz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mainz: Leitsch M. (Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Mainz: Dal M. (Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayern won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 66:24 (average 3.3:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41:10 (average 4.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Mainz?

Bayern Munich has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Bayern Munich?

Mainz has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Mainz were as follows:

14.12.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 2:1

30.10.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 0:4

09.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Mainz 8:1

21.10.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 1:3

22.04.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 3:1

Latest results of Bayern Munich

19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺

16.04.2025 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Mainz

19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Mainz?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball