Barcelona vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	1.04
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Goal Attempts
12	11
Shots on Goal
4	3
Shots off Goal
3	4
Blocked Shots
5	4
Free Kicks
10	11
Corner Kicks
5	5
Offsides
1	3
Throw-ins
17	27
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
Fouls
11	10
Yellow Cards
0	2
Total Passes
372	565
Completed Passes
305	495
Crosses Completed
2	2
Interceptions
7	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
27', Kimmich J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
45', 3 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Casado M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 4 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
60', Olise M. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
60', Muller T. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
60', Gnabry S. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
60', Palhinha J. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
61', Lopez F. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
75', Raphinha ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
85', Yamal L. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
85', Lewandowski R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
85', Pedri ↓, Gavi ↑,
85', Guerreiro R. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
90', Goretzka L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Barcelona
37%

Draw
24.9%

Bayern Munich
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

23.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

23.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barcelona - Bayern Munich Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.22)	3.88 ↓ (4.01)	2.53 ↓ (2.9)	3.6% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : UniMás, TUDN

What is the prediction for Barcelona - Bayern Munich?

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 33 - 47.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 14 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 32.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35.4% – 58.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 0.
Barcelona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Muscle Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Torres F. (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Knee Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Pavlovic A. (Broken collarbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia E. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Bayern: Musiala J. (Hip Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7:31 (average 0.7:3.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:17 (average 1:3.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Bayern Munich?

Barcelona has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Barcelona?

Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Bayern Munich were as follows:

26.10.2022 Barcelona - Bayern Munich 0:3

13.09.2022 Bayern Munich - Barcelona 2:0

Latest results of Barcelona

20.10.2024 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:1 ✺

06.10.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona 0:3 ✺

01.10.2024 Barcelona - Young Boys 5:0 ✺

28.09.2024 Osasuna - Barcelona 4:2 ✺

25.09.2024 Barcelona - Getafe 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bayern Munich

19.10.2024 Bayern Munich - Stuttgart 4:0 ✺

06.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich 3:3 ✺

02.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺

28.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺

21.09.2024 Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich 0:5 ✺

Draw

Qualification

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag	3 : 2, 1 : 3
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos	1 : 1, 1 : 2
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz	1 : 2, 5 : 0
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty	0 : 1, 0 : 0
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen	0 : 2, 1 : 1
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica	0 : 1, 0 : 0
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV	0 : 6, 1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Bayern Munich?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Meraj Sport
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport Arena
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Luxembourg	RTL 2, RTL 2
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3, TVM Sport+
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app