Barcelona vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Bayern Munich
Result
4:1
23/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Barcelona - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.04
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
54
Free Kicks
1011
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
1727
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
372565
Completed Passes
305495
Crosses Completed
22
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Raphinha , Lopez F. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Kane H. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 27', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 1, Lewandowski R. , Lopez F. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Raphinha , Casado M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 4 - 1, Raphinha , Yamal L. (A),
  • 60', Olise M. , Sane L. ,
  • 60', Muller T. , Musiala J. ,
  • 60', Gnabry S. , Coman K. ,
  • 60', Palhinha J. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 61', Lopez F. , de Jong F. ,
  • 75', Raphinha , Olmo D. ,
  • 85', Yamal L. , Fati A. ,
  • 85', Lewandowski R. , Victor P. ,
  • 85', Pedri , Gavi ,
  • 85', Guerreiro R. , Laimer K. ,
  • 90', Goretzka L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barcelona
37%
Draw
24.9%
Bayern Munich
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 23.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 23.6% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barcelona - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.22)
    3.88
    (4.01)
    2.53
    (2.9)
    3.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 33 - 47.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 14 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 32.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35.4%58.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 0.
    • Barcelona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Muscle Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Torres F. (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Knee Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Pavlovic A. (Broken collarbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Musiala J. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7:31 (average 0.7:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:17 (average 1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    26.10.2022 Barcelona - Bayern Munich 0:3
    13.09.2022 Bayern Munich - Barcelona 2:0
    Latest results of Barcelona
    20.10.2024 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:1
    01.10.2024 Barcelona - Young Boys 5:0
    28.09.2024 Osasuna - Barcelona 4:2
    25.09.2024 Barcelona - Getafe 1:0
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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